Tennis · M25 Poznan · 26/08, 10:00
Prediction: Daniel Michalski vs Franco Ribero
Team pages: Daniel Michalski · Franco Ribero
Prediction summary
Winner
Daniel Michalski
Franco Ribero
Estimated games
20.6
Recent form · 10 last
Daniel Michalski
9-1 (W-L)
Franco Ribero
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Daniel Michalski 1545 · Franco Ribero 1463
| Daniel Michalski | Franco Ribero | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 62% | 38% |
| Market | 88% | 12% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Daniel Michalski (rating 1545 vs 1463).
- Daniel Michalski is in better form: 80% recent wins.
Statistics
| Daniel Michalski | Franco Ribero | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (2) | 40% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-0.4 | 1-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 11-6.4 | 10.1-10.2 |
| Aces | 1.8 | 2.2 |
| Double faults | 1.9 | 1.5 |
| 1st serve % | 79% | 60% |
| Break % | 57% | 49.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Daniel Michalski
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/08 | Michael Agwi M15 Krakow |
2-0 | 9-2 | W |
| 22/08 | Jan Sadzik M15 Krakow |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 21/08 | Tom Zeuch M15 Krakow |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 20/08 | Lorenzo Berto M15 Krakow |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 19/08 | Nikola Keremedchiev M15 Krakow |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 13/08 | Lukas Neumayer Challenger Todi · Clay |
1-2 | 11-17 | L |
| 11/08 | Lorenzo Carboni Challenger Todi · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 01/08 | Oleg Prihodko M25 Koszalin |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 31/07 | Marcel Zielinski M25 Koszalin |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 30/07 | Wojciech Marek M25 Koszalin |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Franco Ribero
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/08 | Gerard Campana Lee Challenger Sion · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 09/08 | Nikita Mashtakov Challenger Todi · Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 04/08 | Radu Mihai Papoe Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
1-2 | 13-13 | L |
| 03/08 | Dragos Nicolae Cazacu Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 02/08 | William Rejchtman Vinciguerra Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-1 | 13-11 | W |
| 06/07 | Leo Raquillet Challenger Liege · Clay |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 05/07 | Alessio Basile Challenger Liege · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 29/06 | Pavel Lagutin Challenger Troyes · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 28/06 | Benoit Geldof Challenger Troyes · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 21/06 | Felix Balshaw Challenger Targu Mures · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Daniel Michalski vs Franco Ribero?
Our model gives 76% to Daniel Michalski, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.