Tennis · Challenger Kingston · 18/08, 16:00
Prediction: Elias Ymer vs Paul Jubb
Team pages: Elias Ymer · Paul Jubb
Prediction summary
Winner
Elias Ymer
Paul Jubb
Estimated games
23.7
Recent form · 10 last
Elias Ymer
3-7 (W-L)
Paul Jubb
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Elias Ymer 1479 · Paul Jubb 1485
| Elias Ymer | Paul Jubb | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 51% |
| Market | 46% | 54% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Paul Jubb makes many double faults (4.7/match).
Statistics
| Elias Ymer | Paul Jubb | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 40% |
| Win % · Grass | 50% (8) | 50% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.8-1.3 | 1.2-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.7-11.8 | 12-13.1 |
| Aces | 5.4 | 3 |
| Double faults | 2.3 | 4.7 |
| 1st serve % | 69.8% | 66.3% |
| Break % | 36.6% | 31% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Elias Ymer
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/08 | Federico Cina Challenger Lexington · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 25/07 | Trevor Svajda ATP Washington · Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 24/06 | Timofey Skatov Wimbledon · Grass |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 22/06 | Nikoloz Basilashvili Wimbledon · Grass |
2-1 | 15-15 | W |
| 16/06 | Henry Searle Challenger Dublin · Grass |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 08/06 | Ugo Humbert ATP Hertogenbosch · Grass |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 07/06 | Niels Visker ATP Hertogenbosch · Grass |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 06/06 | Mac Visser ATP Hertogenbosch · Grass |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 04/06 | Sho Shimabukuro Challenger Birmingham · Grass |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 03/06 | Christopher O'Connell Challenger Birmingham · Grass |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Paul Jubb
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/08 | Ajeet Rai Challenger Brownsburg · Hard |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 02/07 | Khumoyun Sultanov M25 Marburg · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 01/07 | Karl Friberg M25 Marburg · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 24/06 | Tomas Barrios Vera Wimbledon · Grass |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 22/06 | Pierre-Hugues Herbert Wimbledon · Grass |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 14/06 | Rio Noguchi Challenger Dublin · Grass |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 10/06 | Tristan Schoolkate Challenger Ilkley · Grass |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 08/06 | Mark Lajal Challenger Ilkley · Grass |
2-1 | 19-15 | W |
| 07/06 | Max Basing Challenger Ilkley · Grass |
2-1 | 18-10 | W |
| 06/05 | Patrick Brady M25 Nottingham |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Elias Ymer vs Paul Jubb?
Our model gives 52% to Paul Jubb, using surface Elo on grass.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.