Tennis · Challenger Kingston · 18/08, 16:00
Prediction: Alvaro Guillen Meza vs Igor Marcondes
Team pages: Alvaro Guillen Meza · Igor Marcondes
Prediction summary
Winner
Alvaro Guillen Meza
Igor Marcondes
Estimated games
25.1
Recent form · 10 last
Alvaro Guillen Meza
4-6 (W-L)
Igor Marcondes
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Alvaro Guillen Meza
0–1
Igor Marcondes
(1 last)
- 05 Aug0-2 1-12L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Alvaro Guillen Meza 1415 · Igor Marcondes 1547
| Alvaro Guillen Meza | Igor Marcondes | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 32% | 68% |
| Market | 27% | 73% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Igor Marcondes (rating 1415 vs 1547).
- Igor Marcondes is in better form: 60% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Alvaro Guillen Meza 0–1 Igor Marcondes (1).
- Note: Alvaro Guillen Meza makes many double faults (4.2/match).
Statistics
| Alvaro Guillen Meza | Igor Marcondes | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 20% (10) | 67% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.8-1.7 | 1.3-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.3-15.3 | 12.8-11.8 |
| Aces | 5.7 | 3.4 |
| Double faults | 4.2 | 1 |
| 1st serve % | 63.6% | 67.1% |
| Break % | 49.6% | 30.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
25.1
H2H · Alvaro Guillen Meza 0 – 1 Igor Marcondes (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Alvaro Guillen Meza 0–1 Igor Marcondes
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05/08/21 ITF M25 Guayaquil | 0-2 | 1-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alvaro Guillen Meza
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/07 | Anton Matusevich Challenger Zug · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 14/07 | Federico Bondioli Challenger Cordenons · Clay |
1-2 | 16-19 | L |
| 06/07 | Henri Squire Challenger Trieste · Clay |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 29/06 | Franco Roncadelli Challenger Brasov · Clay |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 24/06 | Cezar Cretu Challenger Targu Mures · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 23/06 | Radu Mihai Papoe Challenger Targu Mures · Clay |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 16/06 | Federico Bondioli Challenger Parma · Clay |
1-2 | 18-19 | L |
| 11/06 | Marco Cecchinato Challenger Cattolica · Clay |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 09/06 | Ilia Simakin Challenger Cattolica · Clay |
2-1 | 17-18 | W |
| 19/05 | Colton Smith French Open · Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
Igor Marcondes
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/07 | Diego Dedura-Palomero Challenger Tampere · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 23/07 | Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg Challenger Tampere · Clay |
2-1 | 19-15 | W |
| 21/07 | Linus Lagerbohm Challenger Tampere · Clay |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 20/07 | Leonardo Rossi Challenger Tampere · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 19/07 | Alan Wazny Challenger Tampere · Clay |
2-1 | 17-11 | W |
| 13/07 | Lautaro Midon ATP Bastad · Clay |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 12/07 | Gonzalo Bueno ATP Bastad · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 07/07 | Filip Jeff Planinsek Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 03/07 | Lorenzo Giustino Challenger Troyes · Clay |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 01/07 | Luca Staeheli Challenger Troyes · Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alvaro Guillen Meza vs Igor Marcondes?
Our model gives 71% to Igor Marcondes, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.