Tennis · M25 East Lansing · 15/08, 17:00
Prediction: Nikita Filin vs Karl Poling
Team pages: Nikita Filin · Karl Poling
Prediction summary
Winner
Nikita Filin
Karl Poling
Estimated games
22
Recent form · 10 last
Nikita Filin
6-4 (W-L)
Karl Poling
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Nikita Filin 1567 · Karl Poling 1510
| Nikita Filin | Karl Poling | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 58% | 42% |
| Market | 51% | 49% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Nikita Filin (rating 1567 vs 1510).
- Note: Nikita Filin makes many double faults (4.3/match).
Statistics
| Nikita Filin | Karl Poling | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | – | 40% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.8 | 1.4-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.8-8.3 | 13.4-12.6 |
| Aces | 3.1 | 1.9 |
| Double faults | 4.3 | 2.2 |
| 1st serve % | 68.4% | 65.3% |
| Break % | 43.5% | 37% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Nikita Filin
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/08 | Ozan Baris M25 East Lansing |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 13/08 | Marko Mesarovic M25 East Lansing |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 12/08 | Naoya Honda M25 East Lansing |
2-1 | 16-8 | W |
| 11/08 | Ethan Muza M25 East Lansing |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 29/07 | Ozan Baris M25 Edwardsville |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 28/07 | Maximus Dussault M25 Edwardsville |
2-1 | 12-11 | W |
| 24/07 | Naoya Honda M25 Champaign |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 23/07 | Jelani Sarr M25 Champaign |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 21/07 | Tighe Brunetti M25 Champaign |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 15/07 | Aleksa Ciric M25 Louisville |
0-2 | 7-11 | L |
Karl Poling
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/08 | Axel Nefve M25 East Lansing |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 13/08 | Thomas Fancutt M25 East Lansing |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 12/08 | Jesse Flores M25 East Lansing |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 02/08 | Aidan Kim Challenger Lexington · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 28/07 | Tyler Zink Challenger Vancouver · Hard |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 28/07 | Kokoro Isomura Challenger Vancouver · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 14/07 | Kenta Miyoshi Challenger Granby · Hard |
1-2 | 18-19 | L |
| 12/07 | Matt Kuhar Challenger Granby · Hard |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 11/07 | Kenta Miyoshi M25 Laval |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 09/07 | Maxime St-Hilaire M25 Laval |
2-1 | 20-17 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Nikita Filin vs Karl Poling?
Our model gives 54% to Nikita Filin, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.