Tennis · M25 East Lansing · 13/08, 16:00
Prediction: Luca Pow vs Ozan Baris
Team pages: Luca Pow · Ozan Baris
Prediction summary
Winner
Luca Pow
Ozan Baris
Estimated games
20.3
Recent form · 10 last
Luca Pow
4-6 (W-L)
Ozan Baris
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Luca Pow 1497 · Ozan Baris 1591
| Luca Pow | Ozan Baris | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 37% | 63% |
| Market | 29% | 71% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ozan Baris (rating 1497 vs 1591).
- Ozan Baris is in better form: 80% recent wins.
Statistics
| Luca Pow | Ozan Baris | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 80% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (6) | 50% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.2 | 1.6-0.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.2-9.6 | 11.6-9 |
| Aces | 1.3 | 3.8 |
| Double faults | 3.9 | 2.3 |
| 1st serve % | 67.2% | 72.7% |
| Break % | 34.2% | 43.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Luca Pow
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/08 | Benjamin Thomas George M25 East Lansing |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 16/07 | Millen Hurrion M25 Louisville |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 15/07 | Jerry Roddick M25 Louisville |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 08/07 | Gavin Young M25 Dallas |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 25/06 | Jagger Leach M15 Claremont · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 24/06 | Stian Klaassen M15 Claremont · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 18/06 | Andres Martin M25 Tulsa · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 17/06 | Lucas Marionneau M25 Tulsa · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 16/06 | Petro Kuzmenok M25 Tulsa · ~Hard |
2-0 | 10-2 | W |
| 15/01 | Karl Poling M25 Winston-Salem · ~Hard |
0-2 | 11-13 | L |
Ozan Baris
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/08 | Mitchell Sheldon M25 East Lansing |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 06/08 | Edas Butvilas Challenger Lexington · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 04/08 | Liam Broady Challenger Lexington · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 02/08 | Vignesh Gogineni M25 Edwardsville |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 01/08 | Johannus Monday M25 Edwardsville |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 31/07 | Maxwell Exsted M25 Edwardsville |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 30/07 | Oliver Bonding M25 Edwardsville |
2-1 | 19-18 | W |
| 29/07 | Nikita Filin M25 Edwardsville |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 19/07 | Mees Rottgering M25 Louisville |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 18/07 | Aleksa Ciric M25 Louisville |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Luca Pow vs Ozan Baris?
Our model gives 67% to Ozan Baris, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.