Tennis · M25 East Lansing · 13/08, 17:30
Prediction: Nikita Filin vs Marko Mesarovic
Team pages: Nikita Filin · Marko Mesarovic
Prediction summary
Winner
Nikita Filin
Marko Mesarovic
Estimated games
20.1
Recent form · 10 last
Nikita Filin
6-4 (W-L)
Marko Mesarovic
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Nikita Filin 1555 · Marko Mesarovic 1523
| Nikita Filin | Marko Mesarovic | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 55% | 45% |
| Market | 65% | 35% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Nikita Filin makes many double faults (5.2/match).
Statistics
| Nikita Filin | Marko Mesarovic | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 100% (1) | 67% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-0.9 | 1.2-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.2-8.8 | 9.8-9.8 |
| Aces | 2.8 | 0.9 |
| Double faults | 5.2 | 2.7 |
| 1st serve % | 70.3% | 67.8% |
| Break % | 39.5% | 28.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Nikita Filin
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/08 | Naoya Honda M25 East Lansing |
2-1 | 16-8 | W |
| 11/08 | Ethan Muza M25 East Lansing |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 29/07 | Ozan Baris M25 Edwardsville |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 28/07 | Maximus Dussault M25 Edwardsville |
2-1 | 12-11 | W |
| 24/07 | Naoya Honda M25 Champaign |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 23/07 | Jelani Sarr M25 Champaign |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 21/07 | Tighe Brunetti M25 Champaign |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 15/07 | Aleksa Ciric M25 Louisville |
0-2 | 7-11 | L |
| 14/07 | Liam Oliver M25 Louisville |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 12/11 | Alexander Kotzen ITF M25 Columbus · Hard |
1-1 | 16-13 | W |
Marko Mesarovic
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/08 | Oliver Okonkwo M25 East Lansing |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 11/08 | Evan Burnett M25 East Lansing |
2-1 | 10-9 | W |
| 15/07 | Ozan Baris M25 Louisville |
0-2 | 6-11 | L |
| 07/07 | Evan Bynoe M25 Dallas |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 11/06 | Lorenzo Claverie Davis Cup |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 11/06 | Nicholas Gore Davis Cup |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 10/06 | Adrian Quiros Monterrey Davis Cup |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 05/06 | Oliver Bonding M15 Lakewood · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 04/06 | Alexander Petrov M15 Lakewood · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 03/06 | Avery Tallakson M15 Lakewood · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Nikita Filin vs Marko Mesarovic?
Our model gives 60% to Nikita Filin, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.