Tennis · M25 East Lansing · 13/08, 17:30
Prediction: Thomas Fancutt vs Karl Poling
Team pages: Thomas Fancutt · Karl Poling
Prediction summary
Winner
Thomas Fancutt
Karl Poling
Estimated games
23.6
Recent form · 10 last
Thomas Fancutt
7-3 (W-L)
Karl Poling
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Thomas Fancutt 1508 · Karl Poling 1493
| Thomas Fancutt | Karl Poling | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 48% |
| Market | 44% | 56% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Thomas Fancutt | Karl Poling | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (4) | 33% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1.2 | 1.2-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.1-11.7 | 12.7-12.5 |
| Aces | 1.6 | 2.2 |
| Double faults | 2.4 | 2.4 |
| 1st serve % | 69% | 64% |
| Break % | 66.2% | 35.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Thomas Fancutt
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/08 | Lincoln Battle M25 East Lansing |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 19/07 | Daniel Milavsky Challenger Winnipeg · Hard |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 14/07 | Jie Cui Challenger Lincoln · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 13/07 | Hiroki Moriya Challenger Lincoln · Hard |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 12/07 | Kaylan Bigun Challenger Lincoln · Hard |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 23/06 | Mathys Erhard Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
1-2 | 9-15 | L |
| 22/06 | Dimitar Kisimov Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 21/06 | Fares Zakaria Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 15/06 | Emilien Demanet Challenger Royan · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 14/06 | Volodymyr Uzhylovskyi Challenger Royan · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Karl Poling
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/08 | Jesse Flores M25 East Lansing |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 02/08 | Aidan Kim Challenger Lexington · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 28/07 | Tyler Zink Challenger Vancouver · Hard |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 28/07 | Kokoro Isomura Challenger Vancouver · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 14/07 | Kenta Miyoshi Challenger Granby · Hard |
1-2 | 18-19 | L |
| 12/07 | Matt Kuhar Challenger Granby · Hard |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 11/07 | Kenta Miyoshi M25 Laval |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 09/07 | Maxime St-Hilaire M25 Laval |
2-1 | 20-17 | W |
| 08/07 | Alexander Rozin M25 Laval |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 28/06 | Andrew Fenty Challenger Cary · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Thomas Fancutt vs Karl Poling?
Our model gives 52% to Karl Poling, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.