Tennis · M25 East Lansing · 13/08, 16:00
Prediction: Joshua Peck vs Axel Nefve
Team pages: Joshua Peck · Axel Nefve
Prediction summary
Winner
Joshua Peck
Axel Nefve
Estimated games
20.5
Recent form · 10 last
Joshua Peck
5-5 (W-L)
Axel Nefve
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Joshua Peck 1505 · Axel Nefve 1463
| Joshua Peck | Axel Nefve | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 44% |
| Market | 38% | 63% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Joshua Peck (rating 1505 vs 1463).
- Note: Axel Nefve makes many double faults (4.3/match).
Statistics
| Joshua Peck | Axel Nefve | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 60% (5) | 0% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1 | 1-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.6-9.6 | 9.9-11.7 |
| Aces | 3.9 | 2.9 |
| Double faults | 3.1 | 4.3 |
| 1st serve % | 72.2% | 68.3% |
| Break % | 37.3% | 37% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Joshua Peck
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/08 | Evan Bynoe M25 East Lansing |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 11/08 | Jerry Roddick M25 East Lansing |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 04/08 | Evan Zhu M25 Southaven |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 30/07 | Matthew Thomson M15 Huamantla · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 29/07 | Matteo Covato M15 Huamantla · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 15/07 | William Jansen M25 Louisville |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 08/07 | Cole Thurgur M25 Laval |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 25/06 | Jack Satterfield M15 Claremont · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 24/06 | Rishvanth Krishna M15 Claremont · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 23/06 | Noble Renfrow M15 Claremont · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Axel Nefve
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/08 | Sebastian Gorzny M25 East Lansing |
2-1 | 14-15 | W |
| 11/08 | Alexander Petrov M25 East Lansing |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 05/08 | Cruz Hewitt M25 Southaven |
1-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 17/07 | Jerrid Gaines Jr M15 Rochester |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 17/07 | Nathan Cox M15 Rochester |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 15/07 | Matthew Thomson M15 Rochester |
2-1 | 13-11 | W |
| 16/06 | Jeffrey John Wolf M25 Tulsa · ~Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 09/06 | Thanaphat Boosarawongse M25 Wichita · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 29/03 | Koki Matsuda Challenger Miyazaki · Hard |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 27/03 | Emile Hudd M15 Tsukuba · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Joshua Peck vs Axel Nefve?
Our model gives 54% to Axel Nefve, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.