Tennis · M25 East Lansing · 13/08, 16:00
Prediction: Noah Zamora vs Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes
Team pages: Noah Zamora · Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes
Prediction summary
Winner
Noah Zamora
Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes
Estimated games
23.6
Recent form · 10 last
Noah Zamora
3-7 (W-L)
Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Noah Zamora
1–0
Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes
(1 last)
- 13 Jun2-0 12-6W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Noah Zamora 1497 · Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes 1492
| Noah Zamora | Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 51% | 49% |
| Market | 39% | 61% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Noah Zamora 1–0 Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes (1).
Statistics
| Noah Zamora | Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 0% (2) | 40% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.4 | 1.3-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.7-12.7 | 12.4-12.2 |
| Aces | 3.1 | 1 |
| Double faults | 2 | 1.9 |
| 1st serve % | 68.2% | 65.6% |
| Break % | 34.1% | 42.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.6
H2H · Noah Zamora 1 – 0 Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Noah Zamora 1–0 Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13/06/23 M15 San Diego | 2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Noah Zamora
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/08 | James McCabe M25 East Lansing |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 30/07 | Bruno Kuzuhara M25 Edwardsville |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 29/07 | Emon Van Loben Sels M25 Edwardsville |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 19/07 | Darian King Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 12/07 | Spencer Johnson M15 Rancho Santa Fe |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 11/07 | Emon Van Loben Sels M15 Rancho Santa Fe |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 10/07 | Noah Johnston M15 Rancho Santa Fe |
2-1 | 15-15 | W |
| 09/07 | Rudy Quan M15 Rancho Santa Fe |
1-2 | 14-14 | L |
| 08/07 | Benjamin O'Connell M15 Rancho Santa Fe |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 04/07 | Bryce Nakashima M15 San Diego · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/08 | Simon Caldwell M25 East Lansing |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 26/07 | Edward Winter ATP Los Cabos · Hard |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 08/07 | Juan Pablo Varillas Challenger Bogota · Clay |
1-2 | 14-19 | L |
| 06/07 | Valerio Aboian Challenger Bogota · Clay |
2-1 | 20-17 | W |
| 01/07 | Hernan Casanova Challenger Quito · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 29/06 | Felipe Rivadeneira Challenger Quito · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 29/10 | Zsombor Velcz ITF M25 Harlingen · Hard |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 22/10 | Asahi Harazaki ITF M25 Norman · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 21/09 | Keegan Smith ITF M15 Fayetteville · Hard |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 20/09 | Raphael Perot ITF M15 Fayetteville · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Noah Zamora vs Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes?
Our model gives 56% to Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.