Prediction: Sonja Zhiyenbayeva vs Ekaterina Yashina
Team pages: Sonja Zhiyenbayeva · Ekaterina Yashina
Prediction summary
Winner
Sonja Zhiyenbayeva
Ekaterina Yashina
Estimated games
20.6
Recent form · 10 last
Sonja Zhiyenbayeva
8-2 (W-L)
Ekaterina Yashina
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sonja Zhiyenbayeva 1600 · Ekaterina Yashina 1488
| Sonja Zhiyenbayeva | Ekaterina Yashina | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 66% | 34% |
| Market | 88% | 12% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sonja Zhiyenbayeva (rating 1600 vs 1488).
- Sonja Zhiyenbayeva is in better form: 80% recent wins.
Statistics
| Sonja Zhiyenbayeva | Ekaterina Yashina | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | – | 25% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.6 | 1.1-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.6-8.5 | 9.7-10.6 |
| Aces | 2.8 | 3.7 |
| Double faults | 2.8 | 3.8 |
| 1st serve % | 67.8% | 63% |
| Break % | 57.1% | 49.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sonja Zhiyenbayeva
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/08 | Julie Struplova W35 Vigo |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 09/08 | Isabella Shinikova W75 Ourense |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 08/08 | Rina Saigo W75 Ourense |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 07/08 | Alicia Dudeney W75 Ourense |
1-0 | 7-5 | W |
| 06/08 | Yasmine Kabbaj W75 Ourense |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 05/08 | Anna Kubareva W75 Ourense |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 03/08 | Valentina Losciale W75 Ourense |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 02/08 | Amanda Montes Khaghani W75 Ourense |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 29/07 | Alicia Dudeney W50 Dublin |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 08/07 | Carol Young Suh Lee W50 Corroios-Seixal |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
Ekaterina Yashina
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/08 | Emily Sartz-Lunde W35 Vigo |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 05/08 | Alicia Dudeney W75 Ourense |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 03/08 | Anna Orlando Pellicero W75 Ourense |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 02/08 | Carlota Corte W75 Ourense |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 26/07 | Ekaterina Kazionova WTA Targu Mures · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 19/07 | Mona Barthel WTA Hamburg · Clay |
1-2 | 8-14 | L |
| 12/07 | Mina Hodzic WTA Athens · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 11/07 | Lina Glushko WTA Athens · Hard |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 24/06 | Jing-Jing Lu W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 18/06 | Junhan Zhang W35 Zhengzhou · ~Hard |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sonja Zhiyenbayeva vs Ekaterina Yashina?
Our model gives 78% to Sonja Zhiyenbayeva, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.