Prediction: Sofia Costoulas vs Matilde Jorge
Team pages: Sofia Costoulas · Matilde Jorge
Prediction summary
Winner
Sofia Costoulas
Matilde Jorge
Estimated games
20.6
Recent form · 10 last
Sofia Costoulas
5-5 (W-L)
Matilde Jorge
7-3 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Sofia Costoulas
1–0
Matilde Jorge
(1 last)
- 29 Oct2-1 15-10W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sofia Costoulas 1502 · Matilde Jorge 1524
| Sofia Costoulas | Matilde Jorge | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 47% | 53% |
| Market | 72% | 28% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Sofia Costoulas 1–0 Matilde Jorge (1).
- Note: Matilde Jorge makes many double faults (4.7/match).
Statistics
| Sofia Costoulas | Matilde Jorge | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 43% (7) | 80% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.1 | 1.4-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.5-9.8 | 11-8.9 |
| Aces | 3.3 | 3 |
| Double faults | 2.7 | 4.7 |
| 1st serve % | 64.4% | 68.6% |
| Break % | 45.8% | 44.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.6
H2H · Sofia Costoulas 1 – 0 Matilde Jorge (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Sofia Costoulas 1–0 Matilde Jorge
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29/10/25 ITF W75 Glasgow | 2-1 | 15-10 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sofia Costoulas
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/08 | Sofia Camila Rojas W35 Vigo |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 12/08 | Eva Alvarez Sande W35 Vigo |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 04/08 | Gabriela Knutson WTA Warsaw · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 30/07 | Maddison Inglis WTA Vancouver · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 29/07 | Lizette Cabrera WTA Vancouver · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 20/07 | Ayla Aksu WTA Prague · Hard |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 19/07 | Ayla Aksu WTA Prague · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 18/07 | Nao Hibino WTA Prague · Hard |
2-1 | 19-16 | W |
| 14/07 | Tereza Valentova WTA Athens · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 23/06 | Storm Hunter Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Matilde Jorge
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/08 | Isis Louise Van den Broek W35 Vigo |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 12/08 | Maria Berlanga Bandera W35 Vigo |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 05/08 | Mina Hodzic W75 Ourense |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 28/07 | Carmen Gallardo Guevara W100 Gran Canaria |
1-1 | 14-15 | L |
| 08/07 | Chloe Noel W50 Corroios-Seixal |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 05/07 | Han Shi W50 Elvas · ~Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 04/07 | Hina Inoue W50 Elvas · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 03/07 | Veronika Podrez W50 Elvas · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 02/07 | Hiromi Abe W50 Elvas · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 01/07 | Lauryn John-Baptiste W50 Elvas · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sofia Costoulas vs Matilde Jorge?
Our model gives 61% to Sofia Costoulas, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.