Prediction: Sonja Zhiyenbayeva vs Daria Khomutsianskaya
Team pages: Sonja Zhiyenbayeva · Daria Khomutsianskaya
Prediction summary
Winner
Sonja Zhiyenbayeva
Daria Khomutsianskaya
Estimated games
21.4
Recent form · 10 last
Sonja Zhiyenbayeva
8-2 (W-L)
Daria Khomutsianskaya
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sonja Zhiyenbayeva 1620 · Daria Khomutsianskaya 1555
| Sonja Zhiyenbayeva | Daria Khomutsianskaya | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 59% | 41% |
| Market | 50% | 50% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sonja Zhiyenbayeva (rating 1620 vs 1555).
Statistics
| Sonja Zhiyenbayeva | Daria Khomutsianskaya | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 90% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | – | 75% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.8-0.5 | 1.4-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 13-8.3 | 11.6-9.9 |
| Aces | 2.9 | 5.3 |
| Double faults | 2.8 | 3.7 |
| 1st serve % | 69.1% | 65.8% |
| Break % | 57.1% | 59.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sonja Zhiyenbayeva
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/08 | Ekaterina Yashina W35 Vigo |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 12/08 | Julie Struplova W35 Vigo |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 09/08 | Isabella Shinikova W75 Ourense |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 08/08 | Rina Saigo W75 Ourense |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 07/08 | Alicia Dudeney W75 Ourense |
1-0 | 7-5 | W |
| 06/08 | Yasmine Kabbaj W75 Ourense |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 05/08 | Anna Kubareva W75 Ourense |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 03/08 | Valentina Losciale W75 Ourense |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 02/08 | Amanda Montes Khaghani W75 Ourense |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 29/07 | Alicia Dudeney W50 Dublin |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
Daria Khomutsianskaya
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/08 | Tiphanie Lemaitre W35 Vigo |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 11/08 | Yuliya Hatouka W35 Vigo |
2-1 | 18-17 | W |
| 07/08 | Rina Saigo W75 Ourense |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 06/08 | Oceane Dodin W75 Ourense |
2-1 | 16-7 | W |
| 04/08 | Elyse Tse W75 Ourense |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 16/07 | Tatiana Prozorova WTA Istanbul · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 14/07 | Priska Madelyn Nugroho WTA Istanbul · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 13/07 | Ying Zhang WTA Istanbul · Hard |
2-1 | 14-15 | W |
| 12/07 | Saumya Vig WTA Istanbul · Hard |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 07/07 | Xinyu Gao W50 Corroios-Seixal |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sonja Zhiyenbayeva vs Daria Khomutsianskaya?
Our model gives 54% to Sonja Zhiyenbayeva, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.