Prediction: Tiphanie Lemaitre vs Daria Khomutsianskaya
Team pages: Tiphanie Lemaitre · Daria Khomutsianskaya
Prediction summary
Winner
Tiphanie Lemaitre
Daria Khomutsianskaya
Estimated games
20.7
Recent form · 10 last
Tiphanie Lemaitre
4-6 (W-L)
Daria Khomutsianskaya
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Tiphanie Lemaitre 1482 · Daria Khomutsianskaya 1542
| Tiphanie Lemaitre | Daria Khomutsianskaya | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 41% | 59% |
| Market | 31% | 69% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Daria Khomutsianskaya (rating 1482 vs 1542).
- Note: Daria Khomutsianskaya makes many double faults (4/match).
Statistics
| Tiphanie Lemaitre | Daria Khomutsianskaya | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (6) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.4 | 1.2-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 8.4-10.3 | 10.5-9.8 |
| Aces | 0.8 | 4.5 |
| Double faults | 3.5 | 4 |
| 1st serve % | 55.4% | 65.7% |
| Break % | 46.7% | 56.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Tiphanie Lemaitre
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/08 | Angelina Voloshchuk W35 Vigo |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 04/08 | Yasmine Kabbaj W75 Ourense |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 15/07 | Ruien Zhang W75 Vitoria Gasteiz |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 08/07 | Melisa Ercan W35 Don Benito |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 25/06 | Han Shi W50 Palma del Rio · ~Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 24/06 | Kristina Mladenovic W50 Palma del Rio · ~Clay |
2-1 | 12-13 | W |
| 18/06 | Anna Kubareva W35 Tauste · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 17/06 | Aleksandra Iankovskaia W35 Tauste · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 15/06 | Zoziya Kardava W35 Tauste · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-9 | W |
| 06/05 | Lisa Zaar W75 Saint-Gaudens · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
Daria Khomutsianskaya
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/08 | Yuliya Hatouka W35 Vigo |
2-1 | 18-17 | W |
| 07/08 | Rina Saigo W75 Ourense |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 06/08 | Oceane Dodin W75 Ourense |
2-1 | 16-7 | W |
| 04/08 | Elyse Tse W75 Ourense |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 16/07 | Tatiana Prozorova WTA Istanbul · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 14/07 | Priska Madelyn Nugroho WTA Istanbul · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 13/07 | Ying Zhang WTA Istanbul · Hard |
2-1 | 14-15 | W |
| 12/07 | Saumya Vig WTA Istanbul · Hard |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 07/07 | Xinyu Gao W50 Corroios-Seixal |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 02/07 | Katarina Kuzmova W50 Elvas · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Tiphanie Lemaitre vs Daria Khomutsianskaya?
Our model gives 64% to Daria Khomutsianskaya, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.