Tennis · W35 Vigo · 15/08, 12:00
Prediction: Matilde Jorge vs Sonja Zhiyenbayeva
Team pages: Matilde Jorge · Sonja Zhiyenbayeva
Prediction summary
Winner
Matilde Jorge
Sonja Zhiyenbayeva
Estimated games
20.4
Recent form · 10 last
Matilde Jorge
7-3 (W-L)
Sonja Zhiyenbayeva
9-1 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Matilde Jorge 1532 · Sonja Zhiyenbayeva 1640
| Matilde Jorge | Sonja Zhiyenbayeva | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 35% | 65% |
| Market | 56% | 44% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sonja Zhiyenbayeva (rating 1532 vs 1640).
- Sonja Zhiyenbayeva is in better form: 100% recent wins.
- Note: Matilde Jorge makes many double faults (5.1/match).
Statistics
| Matilde Jorge | Sonja Zhiyenbayeva | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 100% |
| Win % · Hard | 75% (4) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.7 | 1.9-0.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.1-9.3 | 12.7-7.2 |
| Aces | 3.1 | 2.2 |
| Double faults | 5.1 | 3 |
| 1st serve % | 69.2% | 68.8% |
| Break % | 47.3% | 57.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Matilde Jorge
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/08 | Sofia Costoulas W35 Vigo |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 13/08 | Isis Louise Van den Broek W35 Vigo |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 12/08 | Maria Berlanga Bandera W35 Vigo |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 05/08 | Mina Hodzic W75 Ourense |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 28/07 | Carmen Gallardo Guevara W100 Gran Canaria |
1-1 | 14-15 | L |
| 08/07 | Chloe Noel W50 Corroios-Seixal |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 05/07 | Han Shi W50 Elvas · ~Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 04/07 | Hina Inoue W50 Elvas · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 03/07 | Veronika Podrez W50 Elvas · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 02/07 | Hiromi Abe W50 Elvas · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Sonja Zhiyenbayeva
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/08 | Daria Khomutsianskaya W35 Vigo |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 13/08 | Ekaterina Yashina W35 Vigo |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 12/08 | Julie Struplova W35 Vigo |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 09/08 | Isabella Shinikova W75 Ourense |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 08/08 | Rina Saigo W75 Ourense |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 07/08 | Alicia Dudeney W75 Ourense |
1-0 | 7-5 | W |
| 06/08 | Yasmine Kabbaj W75 Ourense |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 05/08 | Anna Kubareva W75 Ourense |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 03/08 | Valentina Losciale W75 Ourense |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 02/08 | Amanda Montes Khaghani W75 Ourense |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Matilde Jorge vs Sonja Zhiyenbayeva?
Our model gives 54% to Sonja Zhiyenbayeva, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.