Tennis · W35 Vigo · 13/08, 10:00

Prediction: Yufei Ren vs Melisa Ercan

Team pages: Yufei Ren · Melisa Ercan

Prediction summary
Winner
59% 41%
Yufei Ren Melisa Ercan
Estimated games
21.3
Recent form · 10 last
Yufei Ren 3-7 (W-L)
LWLWLLWLLL
Melisa Ercan 5-5 (W-L)
LWLWWLLWLW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Yufei Ren 1495 · Melisa Ercan 1554
Yufei RenMelisa Ercan
Our model42%58%
Market72%28%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Melisa Ercan (rating 1495 vs 1554).

Statistics

Yufei RenMelisa Ercan
Win %50%70%
Win % · Hard 67% (3) 67% (3)
Sets (G-P)1.2-1.31.5-0.8
Games (G-P)11.4-11.610.8-9.3
Aces1.71
Double faults2.73.6
1st serve %61.5%62.8%
Break %33.1%50.1%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.3

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Yufei Ren

WWLLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
11/08 Stephanie Judith Visscher
W35 Vigo
2-1 13-13 W
05/08 Celia Cervino Ruiz
W75 Ourense
0-2 6-12 L
20/07 Fiona Ferro
WTA Palermo · Clay
0-2 5-12 L
19/07 Miriana Tona
WTA Palermo · Clay
2-0 12-3 W
18/07 Carla Giambelli
WTA Palermo · Clay
2-1 17-14 W
13/07 Lola Radivojevic
WTA Rome · Clay
0-2 4-12 L
07/07 Alice Tubello
WTA Contrexeville · Clay
1-2 15-15 L
19/06 Daria Khomutsianskaya
W35 Zhengzhou · ~Hard
1-2 12-16 L
18/06 Qiu Yu Ye
W35 Zhengzhou · ~Hard
2-0 12-5 W
17/06 Priska Madelyn Nugroho
W35 Zhengzhou · ~Hard
2-1 18-14 W

Melisa Ercan

WLWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
12/08 Madhurima Sawant
W35 Vigo
2-0 13-7 W
16/07 Maria Golovina
W75 Vitoria Gasteiz
1-2 11-13 L
15/07 Olga Bienzobas Fernandez
W75 Vitoria Gasteiz
2-0 12-5 W
11/07 Viktoria Hruncakova
W35 Don Benito
0-2 3-12 L
10/07 Ela Plosnik
W35 Don Benito
2-1 15-11 W
09/07 Jodie Anna Burrage
W35 Don Benito
2-0 8-5 W
08/07 Tiphanie Lemaitre
W35 Don Benito
2-0 12-5 W
05/07 Duru Soke
W15 Kayseri · ~Hard
0-2 8-13 L
04/07 Irem Kurt
W15 Kayseri · ~Hard
2-0 13-9 W
03/07 Amelie Smejkalova
W15 Kayseri · ~Hard
2-1 13-13 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Yufei Ren vs Melisa Ercan?

Our model gives 59% to Yufei Ren, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.