Tennis · M25 East Lansing · 12/08, 19:00
Prediction: Marko Mesarovic vs Oliver Okonkwo
Team pages: Marko Mesarovic · Oliver Okonkwo
Prediction summary
Winner
Marko Mesarovic
Oliver Okonkwo
Estimated games
22.8
Recent form · 10 last
Marko Mesarovic
6-4 (W-L)
Oliver Okonkwo
2-8 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Marko Mesarovic 1516 · Oliver Okonkwo 1477
| Marko Mesarovic | Oliver Okonkwo | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 44% |
| Market | 50% | 50% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Marko Mesarovic | Oliver Okonkwo | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 40% |
| Win % · Grass | – | 50% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1 | 1-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.6-9.2 | 10.9-12.6 |
| Aces | 1.2 | 6.1 |
| Double faults | 2.4 | 2.5 |
| 1st serve % | 67.7% | 69.3% |
| Break % | 30% | 14.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Marko Mesarovic
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/08 | Evan Burnett M25 East Lansing |
2-1 | 10-9 | W |
| 15/07 | Ozan Baris M25 Louisville |
0-2 | 6-11 | L |
| 07/07 | Evan Bynoe M25 Dallas |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 11/06 | Lorenzo Claverie Davis Cup |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 11/06 | Nicholas Gore Davis Cup |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 10/06 | Adrian Quiros Monterrey Davis Cup |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 05/06 | Oliver Bonding M15 Lakewood · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 04/06 | Alexander Petrov M15 Lakewood · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 03/06 | Avery Tallakson M15 Lakewood · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 02/06 | Will Mayew M15 Lakewood · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Oliver Okonkwo
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/07 | Eli Stephenson M25 Champaign |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 15/07 | Alejandro Moreno M25 Louisville |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 09/07 | Mitchell Krueger M25 Dallas |
1-1 | 4-7 | L |
| 07/07 | Liam Krall M25 Dallas |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 14/06 | Zhizhen Zhang Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 13/06 | Hugo Grenier Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 09/06 | Dane Sweeny Challenger Ilkley · Grass |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 08/06 | Ben Jones Challenger Ilkley · Grass |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 08/06 | Antoine Ghibaudo Challenger Ilkley · Grass |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 31/05 | August Holmgren Challenger Birmingham · Grass |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Marko Mesarovic vs Oliver Okonkwo?
Our model gives 53% to Marko Mesarovic, using surface Elo on grass.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.