Tennis · W35 Vigo · 12/08, 10:00

Prediction: Madhurima Sawant vs Melisa Ercan

Team pages: Madhurima Sawant · Melisa Ercan

Prediction summary
Winner
22% 78%
Madhurima Sawant Melisa Ercan
Estimated games
19.5
Recent form · 10 last
Madhurima Sawant 2-8 (W-L)
LLLLWLLLLW
Melisa Ercan 5-5 (W-L)
WLWLWWLLWL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Madhurima Sawant 1457 · Melisa Ercan 1545
Madhurima SawantMelisa Ercan
Our model38%62%
Market9%91%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Melisa Ercan (rating 1457 vs 1545).
  • Melisa Ercan is in better form: 70% recent wins.
  • Note: Melisa Ercan makes many double faults (4.5/match).

Statistics

Madhurima SawantMelisa Ercan
Win %30%70%
Win % · Hard 40% (5) 75% (4)
Sets (G-P)0.6-1.71.5-0.8
Games (G-P)6.2-11.410.8-9.4
Aces0.91
Double faults2.64.5
1st serve %49.6%63.3%
Break %33.5%48.8%
Estimated total games (ours) 19.5

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Madhurima Sawant

LLLLW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
11/08 Hanna Bougouffa
W35 Vigo
2-1 11-10 W
02/08 Esther Lopez Alcaraz
W75 Ourense
0-2 3-12 L
29/06 Lidia Gonzalez
W15 Getxo · ~Clay
0-2 3-12 L
23/06 Marta Soriano Santiago
W15 Galati · ~Clay
0-2 1-12 L
07/05 Vaidehee Chaudhari
W35 Tumkur · ~Hard
0-2 4-12 L
05/05 Maria Mikhailova
W35 Tumkur · ~Hard
2-1 15-9 W
30/04 Elina Nepliy
W15 New Delhi · ~Hard
0-2 4-12 L
28/04 Maria Mikhailova
W15 New Delhi · ~Hard
2-1 15-11 W
22/04 Zuzanna Kolonus
W15 Panipat · ~Hard
0-2 5-12 L
03/04 Zhibek Kulambayeva
W15 Ch.Sambhaji Nagar · ~Clay
0-2 1-12 L

Melisa Ercan

WWLWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
16/07 Maria Golovina
W75 Vitoria Gasteiz
1-2 11-13 L
15/07 Olga Bienzobas Fernandez
W75 Vitoria Gasteiz
2-0 12-5 W
11/07 Viktoria Hruncakova
W35 Don Benito
0-2 3-12 L
10/07 Ela Plosnik
W35 Don Benito
2-1 15-11 W
09/07 Jodie Anna Burrage
W35 Don Benito
2-0 8-5 W
08/07 Tiphanie Lemaitre
W35 Don Benito
2-0 12-5 W
05/07 Duru Soke
W15 Kayseri · ~Hard
0-2 8-13 L
04/07 Irem Kurt
W15 Kayseri · ~Hard
2-0 13-9 W
03/07 Amelie Smejkalova
W15 Kayseri · ~Hard
2-1 13-13 W
01/07 Nikoletta Muller
W15 Kayseri · ~Hard
2-0 13-8 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Madhurima Sawant vs Melisa Ercan?

Our model gives 78% to Melisa Ercan, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.