Tennis · W35 Vigo · 12/08, 11:30

Prediction: Ekaterina Yashina vs Emily Sartz-Lunde

Team pages: Ekaterina Yashina · Emily Sartz-Lunde

Prediction summary
Winner
38% 62%
Ekaterina Yashina Emily Sartz-Lunde
Estimated games
20.6
Recent form · 10 last
Ekaterina Yashina 5-5 (W-L)
WWLLLWLWWL
Emily Sartz-Lunde 5-5 (W-L)
WWLLLWWWLL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Ekaterina Yashina 1481 · Emily Sartz-Lunde 1568
Ekaterina YashinaEmily Sartz-Lunde
Our model38%62%
Market38%63%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Emily Sartz-Lunde (rating 1481 vs 1568).
  • Emily Sartz-Lunde is in better form: 80% recent wins.
  • Note: Ekaterina Yashina makes many double faults (4/match).
  • Note: Emily Sartz-Lunde makes many double faults (5.3/match).

Statistics

Ekaterina YashinaEmily Sartz-Lunde
Win %40%80%
Win % · Hard 40% (5) 78% (9)
Sets (G-P)1.1-1.31.6-0.8
Games (G-P)9.7-10.611.7-9.1
Aces2.40.2
Double faults45.3
1st serve %63.3%61.7%
Break %46.2%46.1%
Estimated total games (ours) 20.6

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Ekaterina Yashina

LLWWL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
05/08 Alicia Dudeney
W75 Ourense
1-2 12-16 L
03/08 Anna Orlando Pellicero
W75 Ourense
2-0 12-1 W
02/08 Carlota Corte
W75 Ourense
2-0 12-4 W
26/07 Ekaterina Kazionova
WTA Targu Mures · Clay
0-2 4-12 L
19/07 Mona Barthel
WTA Hamburg · Clay
1-2 8-14 L
12/07 Mina Hodzic
WTA Athens · Hard
0-2 3-12 L
11/07 Lina Glushko
WTA Athens · Hard
2-1 16-14 W
24/06 Jing-Jing Lu
W15 Maanshan · ~Hard
0-2 7-12 L
18/06 Junhan Zhang
W35 Zhengzhou · ~Hard
1-2 11-15 L
17/06 Ran Yang
W35 Zhengzhou · ~Hard
2-0 12-6 W

Emily Sartz-Lunde

WWWLW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
11/08 Alice Ferlito
W35 Vigo
2-1 11-10 W
14/07 Sara Milanese
W15 Monastir · ~Hard
0-2 4-12 L
05/07 Eliz Maloney
W15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-0 13-8 W
04/07 Maria Andrienko
W15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-1 15-11 W
03/07 Margaux Komano
W15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-0 12-6 W
02/07 Nada Fouad
W15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-1 16-9 W
01/07 Sarah Victoria Majesty Nita
W15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-1 17-12 W
26/06 Alyssa Reguer
W15 Monastir · ~Hard
0-2 5-12 L
25/06 Anja Wildgruber
W15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-0 12-6 W
24/06 Mirabelle Tahiri
W15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-0 12-5 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Ekaterina Yashina vs Emily Sartz-Lunde?

Our model gives 62% to Emily Sartz-Lunde, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.