Tennis · M25 East Lansing · 11/08, 17:30
Prediction: Marko Mesarovic vs Evan Burnett
Team pages: Marko Mesarovic · Evan Burnett
Prediction summary
Winner
Marko Mesarovic
Evan Burnett
Estimated games
19.6
Recent form · 10 last
Marko Mesarovic
5-5 (W-L)
Evan Burnett
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Marko Mesarovic 1498 · Evan Burnett 1441
| Marko Mesarovic | Evan Burnett | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 58% | 42% |
| Market | 79% | 21% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Marko Mesarovic (rating 1498 vs 1441).
Statistics
| Marko Mesarovic | Evan Burnett | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 30% |
| Win % · Hard | 60% (5) | 33% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.1 | 0.7-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 9-9.5 | 8.1-11.3 |
| Aces | 0.9 | 1.2 |
| Double faults | 2.2 | 3 |
| 1st serve % | 65% | 55.4% |
| Break % | 30.4% | 31.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Marko Mesarovic
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/07 | Ozan Baris M25 Louisville |
0-2 | 6-11 | L |
| 07/07 | Evan Bynoe M25 Dallas |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 11/06 | Lorenzo Claverie Davis Cup |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 11/06 | Nicholas Gore Davis Cup |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 10/06 | Adrian Quiros Monterrey Davis Cup |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 05/06 | Oliver Bonding M15 Lakewood · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 04/06 | Alexander Petrov M15 Lakewood · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 03/06 | Avery Tallakson M15 Lakewood · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 02/06 | Will Mayew M15 Lakewood · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 28/05 | Amit Vales M15 Lakewood · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Evan Burnett
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/07 | Nathan Pitts UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 16/07 | Azariah Rusher UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard |
1-2 | 13-13 | L |
| 15/07 | Juan David Velasquez UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 14/07 | Aditya Govila UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 16/06 | Joshua Peck M15 Irvine · ~Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 20/11 | Aidan Mchugh ITF M25 Austin · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 19/11 | Gus Grumet ITF M25 Austin · Hard |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
| 12/11 | Vlado Jankanj ITF M25 Columbus · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 11/11 | Brandon Carpico ITF M25 Columbus · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 12/08 | Benjamin Pietri ITF M15 Pirot · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Marko Mesarovic vs Evan Burnett?
Our model gives 70% to Marko Mesarovic, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.