Tennis · M25 East Lansing · 11/08, 17:30
Prediction: Colson Wells vs Jelani Sarr
Prediction summary
Winner
Colson Wells
Jelani Sarr
Estimated games
21.1
Recent form · 10 last
Colson Wells
4-6 (W-L)
Jelani Sarr
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Colson Wells
0–1
Jelani Sarr
(1 last)
- 21 Jul0-2 6-12L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Colson Wells 1457 · Jelani Sarr 1543
| Colson Wells | Jelani Sarr | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 38% | 62% |
| Market | 25% | 75% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Jelani Sarr (rating 1457 vs 1543).
- Jelani Sarr is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Colson Wells 0–1 Jelani Sarr (1).
Statistics
| Colson Wells | Jelani Sarr | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 33% (9) | 80% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.4 | 1.4-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.5-11.5 | 11.5-9 |
| Aces | 2 | 4.2 |
| Double faults | 3.8 | 3.4 |
| 1st serve % | 66% | 71% |
| Break % | 52.3% | 41.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.1
H2H · Colson Wells 0 – 1 Jelani Sarr (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Colson Wells 0–1 Jelani Sarr
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/07/26 M25 Champaign | 0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Colson Wells
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/07 | Jelani Sarr M25 Champaign |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 06/06 | Alberto Altur Fernandez UTR Pro Philadelphia · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 05/06 | Andrew Kotzen UTR Pro Philadelphia · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 04/06 | Nischal Spurling UTR Pro Philadelphia · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 03/06 | Lun Obrul UTR Pro Philadelphia · Hard |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 02/06 | Ainius Sabaliauskas UTR Pro Philadelphia · Hard |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 17/12 | Stijn Paardekooper UTR Pro Honolulu · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 16/12 | Michael Wright UTR Pro Honolulu · Hard |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 15/12 | Christopher Rodi UTR Pro Honolulu · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 13/12 | Pierre Mouesca UTR Pro Honolulu · Hard |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
Jelani Sarr
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/07 | Samir Banerjee M25 Edwardsville |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 28/07 | Noah Johnston M25 Edwardsville |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 23/07 | Nikita Filin M25 Champaign |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 22/07 | Andreja Petrovic M25 Champaign |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 21/07 | Colson Wells M25 Champaign |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 04/10 | Karl Kazuma Lee UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 02/10 | Rahul Sachdev UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 01/10 | Alessandro-D Ventre UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 30/09 | Oscar Brown UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 29/09 | Graeme Angus UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Colson Wells vs Jelani Sarr?
Our model gives 69% to Jelani Sarr, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.