Tennis · M25 East Lansing · 11/08, 16:00
Prediction: Ethan Muza vs Nikita Filin
Team pages: Ethan Muza · Nikita Filin
Prediction summary
Winner
Ethan Muza
Nikita Filin
Estimated games
20.3
Recent form · 10 last
Ethan Muza
7-3 (W-L)
Nikita Filin
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ethan Muza 1526 · Nikita Filin 1533
| Ethan Muza | Nikita Filin | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 51% |
| Market | 19% | 81% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Ethan Muza makes many double faults (5.4/match).
- Note: Nikita Filin makes many double faults (5/match).
Statistics
| Ethan Muza | Nikita Filin | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 67% (9) | 67% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1.1 | 1.1-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.4-9.4 | 10.2-9.2 |
| Aces | 1.8 | 2.7 |
| Double faults | 5.4 | 5 |
| 1st serve % | 63.3% | 71.6% |
| Break % | 48.1% | 42% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ethan Muza
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/07 | Alejandro Moreno M25 Champaign |
1-2 | 6-10 | L |
| 16/06 | Victor Tosetto M25 Tulsa · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-10 | L |
| 31/12 | Aleksa Ciric UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 30/12 | Andrew Delgado UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 29/12 | Cole Henceroth UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 28/12 | Paxton Pritchard UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 26/10 | Piotr Siekanowicz UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 25/10 | Tej Bhagra UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 24/10 | Jan Kobierski UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 24/10 | Simon Caldwell UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard |
2-1 | 15-16 | W |
Nikita Filin
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/07 | Ozan Baris M25 Edwardsville |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 28/07 | Maximus Dussault M25 Edwardsville |
2-1 | 12-11 | W |
| 24/07 | Naoya Honda M25 Champaign |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 23/07 | Jelani Sarr M25 Champaign |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 21/07 | Tighe Brunetti M25 Champaign |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 15/07 | Aleksa Ciric M25 Louisville |
0-2 | 7-11 | L |
| 14/07 | Liam Oliver M25 Louisville |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 12/11 | Alexander Kotzen ITF M25 Columbus · Hard |
1-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 15/09 | Samir Banerjee Challenger Columbus · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 14/09 | Nicolas Arseneault Challenger Columbus · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ethan Muza vs Nikita Filin?
Our model gives 68% to Nikita Filin, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.