Tennis · M25 East Lansing · 11/08, 19:00
Prediction: Benjamin Thomas George vs Luca Pow
Team pages: Benjamin Thomas George · Luca Pow
Prediction summary
Winner
Benjamin Thomas George
Luca Pow
Estimated games
21.3
Recent form · 10 last
Benjamin Thomas George
6-4 (W-L)
Luca Pow
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Benjamin Thomas George 1448 · Luca Pow 1498
| Benjamin Thomas George | Luca Pow | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 57% |
| Market | 22% | 78% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Luca Pow (rating 1448 vs 1498).
- Luca Pow is in better form: 50% recent wins.
- Note: Benjamin Thomas George makes many double faults (6.2/match).
Statistics
| Benjamin Thomas George | Luca Pow | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 25% (4) | 57% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.7 | 1-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.5-13.8 | 10.4-9.2 |
| Aces | 0.6 | 1.9 |
| Double faults | 6.2 | 3.7 |
| 1st serve % | 60.3% | 67.2% |
| Break % | 41.2% | 35.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Benjamin Thomas George
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/07 | Braden Shick Challenger Vancouver · Hard |
1-2 | 14-19 | L |
| 19/07 | Garrett Johns Challenger Winnipeg · Hard |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 13/07 | James Trotter Challenger Granby · Hard |
1-2 | 16-13 | L |
| 12/07 | Alan Magadan Challenger Granby · Hard |
2-1 | 14-14 | W |
| 07/07 | Matthew Thomson M25 Laval |
1-2 | 9-16 | L |
| 18/06 | Sebastian Sorger M25 Samobor · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 17/06 | Drazen Petrovic M25 Samobor · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 09/06 | Matias Ponce de Leon Gomila M25 Kiseljak · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 03/06 | Matias Ponce de Leon Gomila M15 Rosbach · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 27/05 | Dmitrii Shirokii M25 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
1-2 | 13-13 | L |
Luca Pow
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/07 | Millen Hurrion M25 Louisville |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 15/07 | Jerry Roddick M25 Louisville |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 08/07 | Gavin Young M25 Dallas |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 25/06 | Jagger Leach M15 Claremont · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 24/06 | Stian Klaassen M15 Claremont · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 18/06 | Andres Martin M25 Tulsa · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 17/06 | Lucas Marionneau M25 Tulsa · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 16/06 | Petro Kuzmenok M25 Tulsa · ~Hard |
2-0 | 10-2 | W |
| 15/01 | Karl Poling M25 Winston-Salem · ~Hard |
0-2 | 11-13 | L |
| 14/01 | Aryan Shah M25 Winston-Salem · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Benjamin Thomas George vs Luca Pow?
Our model gives 69% to Luca Pow, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.