Tennis · M25 East Lansing · 12/08, 16:00
Prediction: Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes vs Simon Caldwell
Team pages: Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes
Prediction summary
Winner
Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes
Simon Caldwell
Estimated games
22.9
Recent form · 10 last
Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes
5-5 (W-L)
Simon Caldwell
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes 1493 · Simon Caldwell 1518
| Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes | Simon Caldwell | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 54% |
| Market | 86% | 14% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes | Simon Caldwell | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (6) | 57% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.3 | 1.2-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.7-13.3 | 10-9.6 |
| Aces | 1.2 | 1.8 |
| Double faults | 2.1 | 3.2 |
| 1st serve % | 64.8% | 66.3% |
| Break % | 40.4% | 42.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/07 | Edward Winter ATP Los Cabos · Hard |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 08/07 | Juan Pablo Varillas Challenger Bogota · Clay |
1-2 | 14-19 | L |
| 06/07 | Valerio Aboian Challenger Bogota · Clay |
2-1 | 20-17 | W |
| 01/07 | Hernan Casanova Challenger Quito · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 29/06 | Felipe Rivadeneira Challenger Quito · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 29/10 | Zsombor Velcz ITF M25 Harlingen · Hard |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 22/10 | Asahi Harazaki ITF M25 Norman · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 21/09 | Keegan Smith ITF M15 Fayetteville · Hard |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 20/09 | Raphael Perot ITF M15 Fayetteville · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 19/09 | Alexander Kotzen ITF M15 Fayetteville · Hard |
2-1 | 15-17 | W |
Simon Caldwell
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08 | Preston Stearns UTR Pro Columbus · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 31/07 | Lathan Skrobarcek UTR Pro Columbus · Hard |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 30/07 | Drew Fishback UTR Pro Columbus · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 29/07 | Evan Sharygin UTR Pro Columbus · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 28/07 | Nicholas Herdoiza UTR Pro Columbus · Hard |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 21/07 | Maximillian Mroz M25 Champaign |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 15/07 | Ilyas Milad Fahim M15 Rochester |
1-2 | 8-14 | L |
| 14/07 | Andrei Caragea M15 Rochester |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 06/05 | Jesse Flores M15 Mbombela · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 04/05 | Atharva Sharma M15 Mbombela · ~Hard |
2-0 | 9-0 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes vs Simon Caldwell?
Our model gives 68% to Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.