Prediction: Emily Sartz-Lunde vs Alice Ferlito
Team pages: Emily Sartz-Lunde · Alice Ferlito
Prediction summary
Winner
Emily Sartz-Lunde
Alice Ferlito
Estimated games
21
Recent form · 10 last
Emily Sartz-Lunde
6-4 (W-L)
Alice Ferlito
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Emily Sartz-Lunde 1554 · Alice Ferlito 1462
| Emily Sartz-Lunde | Alice Ferlito | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 63% | 37% |
| Market | 59% | 41% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Emily Sartz-Lunde (rating 1554 vs 1462).
- Emily Sartz-Lunde is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Note: Emily Sartz-Lunde makes many double faults (5.7/match).
- Note: Alice Ferlito makes many double faults (4.6/match).
Statistics
| Emily Sartz-Lunde | Alice Ferlito | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 30% |
| Win % · Hard | 70% (10) | 0% (1) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.9 | 1-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.7-9.5 | 9.9-11.2 |
| Aces | 0.3 | 1 |
| Double faults | 5.7 | 4.6 |
| 1st serve % | 60.6% | 55.4% |
| Break % | 47% | 47.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Emily Sartz-Lunde
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/07 | Sara Milanese W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 05/07 | Eliz Maloney W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 04/07 | Maria Andrienko W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 03/07 | Margaux Komano W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 02/07 | Nada Fouad W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-9 | W |
| 01/07 | Sarah Victoria Majesty Nita W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 26/06 | Alyssa Reguer W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 25/06 | Anja Wildgruber W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 24/06 | Mirabelle Tahiri W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 02/06 | Doga Turkmen W15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
Alice Ferlito
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/08 | Anna Kubareva W75 Ourense |
1-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 02/08 | Alba Maria Coromina Boluda W75 Ourense |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 13/07 | Zoziya Kardava W75 Vitoria Gasteiz |
1-2 | 16-19 | L |
| 12/07 | Aaddi Gupta W75 Vitoria Gasteiz |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 06/07 | Vaishnavi Adkar W50 Corroios-Seixal |
1-2 | 9-14 | L |
| 05/07 | Amanda Montes Khaghani W50 Corroios-Seixal |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 10/06 | Ruth Roura Llaverias W15 Madrid |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 31/05 | Beatrice Ricci W75 Caserta · ~Clay |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 21/10 | Maria B Bandera ITF W35 Norman · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 19/08 | Claudia Ferrer Perez ITF W15 Logrono |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Emily Sartz-Lunde vs Alice Ferlito?
Our model gives 61% to Emily Sartz-Lunde, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.