Tennis · M25 Idanha-A-Nova · 12/08, 10:30

Prediction: Andrea Colombo vs Francisco Faria

Team pages: Andrea Colombo · Francisco Faria

Prediction summary
Winner
64% 36%
Andrea Colombo Francisco Faria
Estimated games
20.1
Recent form · 10 last
Andrea Colombo 8-2 (W-L)
WLWWWWWWLW
Francisco Faria 6-4 (W-L)
WWLWWLWLWL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Andrea Colombo 1513 · Francisco Faria 1523
Andrea ColomboFrancisco Faria
Our model49%51%
Market77%23%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Statistics

Andrea ColomboFrancisco Faria
Win %50%60%
Win % · Hard 33% (3) 67% (6)
Sets (G-P)1.3-11.2-0.8
Games (G-P)11.9-109.9-7.6
Aces4.80.6
Double faults2.92.3
1st serve %73.7%67.2%
Break %58.9%58.3%
Estimated total games (ours) 20.1

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Andrea Colombo

LWWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
10/08 Pedro Liborio
M25 Idanha-A-Nova
2-0 13-7 W
06/08 Alejo Sanchez Quilez
M25 Tauste · ~Clay
0-2 8-13 L
05/08 Yago Castellanos
M25 Tauste · ~Clay
2-0 12-5 W
04/08 Noah Regas
M25 Tauste · ~Clay
2-0 12-5 W
21/07 Clement Lemire
M15 Rognac
1-2 15-17 L
16/07 Iker Urribarrens
M15 Castelo Branco
1-2 12-16 L
15/07 Noah Lopez Cherubino
M15 Castelo Branco
2-0 12-5 W
30/06 Ali Yazdani
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
1-2 17-19 L
25/06 Lukas Pokorny
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
0-2 6-10 L
24/06 Benjamin Gusic Wan
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-0 12-3 W

Francisco Faria

LWLWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
14/07 Diogo Morais
M15 Castelo Branco
0-2 8-12 L
13/07 Samuel De Felipe Garcia
M15 Castelo Branco
2-0 14-11 W
24/06 Rodrigo Fernandes
M25 Porto
0-2 4-12 L
23/06 Kevin Edengren
M25 Porto
2-0 13-6 W
13/05 Maksim Shin
M25 Kutaisi · ~Hard
0-2 8-12 L
12/05 Alex Solonenko
M25 Kutaisi · ~Hard
2-0 12-6 W
11/05 Iosif Shalmiev
M25 Kutaisi · ~Hard
2-0 12-0 W
07/05 Francisco Rocha
M25 Loule · ~Hard
0-2 4-12 L
06/05 Fares Zakaria
M25 Loule · ~Hard
2-0 12-4 W
04/05 Enrique Collar
M25 Loule · ~Hard
2-0 12-1 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Andrea Colombo vs Francisco Faria?

Our model gives 64% to Andrea Colombo, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.