Tennis · M25 Idanha-A-Nova · 21/08, 11:00
Prediction: Tristan McCormick vs Goncalo Marques
Team pages: Tristan McCormick · Goncalo Marques
Prediction summary
Winner
Tristan McCormick
Goncalo Marques
Estimated games
23.6
Recent form · 10 last
Tristan McCormick
4-6 (W-L)
Goncalo Marques
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Tristan McCormick 1537 · Goncalo Marques 1550
| Tristan McCormick | Goncalo Marques | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 48% | 52% |
| Market | 46% | 54% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Goncalo Marques dominates on serve: 6.2 aces and 40% break avg.
Statistics
| Tristan McCormick | Goncalo Marques | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 0% (1) | 50% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.2 | 1.5-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.4-12.4 | 13-10.8 |
| Aces | 4.9 | 6.2 |
| Double faults | 2.9 | 2.4 |
| 1st serve % | 74.9% | 76.3% |
| Break % | 49.1% | 40% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Tristan McCormick
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/08 | Vasco Leote Prata M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 19/08 | Stefan Vujic M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
2-1 | 17-18 | W |
| 15/08 | Philip Henning M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 14/08 | Tiago Pereira M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 13/08 | Izan Almazan Valiente M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 12/08 | Benjamin Pietri M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 04/08 | Izan Almazan Valiente M25 Tauste · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 29/07 | Manel Lazaro Juncadella M25 Edwardsville |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 23/07 | William Mroz Mroz M25 Champaign |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 22/07 | Kyle Mcnally M25 Champaign |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
Goncalo Marques
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/08 | Fabrizio Andaloro M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 19/08 | Tiago Cacao M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 15/08 | Dan Added M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 14/08 | Robin Bertrand M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 13/08 | Andrea Colombo M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 11/08 | Sergio Callejon Hernando M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 05/08 | Alejo Sanchez Quilez M25 Tauste · ~Clay |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 04/08 | Sai Karteek Reddy Ganta M25 Tauste · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 18/07 | Tiago Cacao M15 Castelo Branco |
1-2 | 17-18 | L |
| 17/07 | Iker Urribarrens M15 Castelo Branco |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Tristan McCormick vs Goncalo Marques?
Our model gives 53% to Goncalo Marques, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.