Tennis · W35 Vigo · 12/08, 10:00

Prediction: Charo Esquiva Banuls vs Kira Pavlova

Team pages: Charo Esquiva Banuls · Kira Pavlova

Prediction summary
Winner
42% 58%
Charo Esquiva Banuls Kira Pavlova
Estimated games
20.2
Recent form · 10 last
Charo Esquiva Banuls 4-6 (W-L)
LLLLWLWWWL
Kira Pavlova 6-4 (W-L)
LWLWWWLWWL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Charo Esquiva Banuls 1488 · Kira Pavlova 1532
Charo Esquiva BanulsKira Pavlova
Our model44%56%
Market41%59%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Kira Pavlova (rating 1488 vs 1532).
  • Note: Charo Esquiva Banuls makes many double faults (4/match).
  • Note: Kira Pavlova makes many double faults (6/match).

Statistics

Charo Esquiva BanulsKira Pavlova
Win %50%60%
Win % · Clay 33% (6)
Sets (G-P)1-11.3-0.9
Games (G-P)9.2-9.310.8-9.1
Aces1.51.1
Double faults46
1st serve %57.1%61.8%
Break %56.8%52.2%
Estimated total games (ours) 20.2

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Charo Esquiva Banuls

LWWWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
25/07 Lea Nilsson
W50 Horb
0-2 8-13 L
24/07 Josy Daems
W50 Horb
2-0 12-4 W
23/07 Neus Torner Sensano
W50 Horb
2-0 12-5 W
22/07 Selena Janicijevic
W50 Horb
2-0 12-6 W
23/04 Vittoria Paganetti
W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay
0-1 8-12 L
22/04 Ipek Oz
W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay
2-0 12-5 W
14/04 Giorgia Pedone
W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay
0-2 5-12 L
25/03 Gaia Maduzzi
W35 San Gregorio · ~Clay
0-2 6-13 L
24/03 Maria Toma
W35 San Gregorio · ~Clay
2-1 12-10 W
20/03 Lisa Pigato
W35 San Gregorio · ~Clay
0-2 5-13 L

Kira Pavlova

WLWWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
07/08 Britt Du Pree
W75 Ourense
0-2 5-12 L
06/08 Francisca Jorge
W75 Ourense
2-0 13-8 W
04/08 Eva Alvarez Sande
W75 Ourense
2-0 12-2 W
18/07 Martyna Kubka
W75 Vitoria Gasteiz
1-2 14-16 L
17/07 Katarina Kuzmova
W75 Vitoria Gasteiz
2-0 12-8 W
16/07 Zoziya Kardava
W75 Vitoria Gasteiz
2-1 16-10 W
15/07 Carmen Gallardo Guevara
W75 Vitoria Gasteiz
2-0 12-5 W
09/07 Francisca Jorge
W50 Corroios-Seixal
0-2 5-12 L
08/07 Gabriela Agra Amorim
W50 Corroios-Seixal
2-0 13-6 W
30/06 Stephanie Judith Visscher
W50 Elvas · ~Hard
0-2 6-12 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Charo Esquiva Banuls vs Kira Pavlova?

Our model gives 58% to Kira Pavlova, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.