Tennis · W35 Vigo · 12/08, 10:00

Prediction: Sofia Costoulas vs Eva Alvarez Sande

Team pages: Sofia Costoulas · Eva Alvarez Sande

Prediction summary
Winner
72% 28%
Sofia Costoulas Eva Alvarez Sande
Estimated games
21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Sofia Costoulas 5-5 (W-L)
WWLLLWWWLL
Eva Alvarez Sande 5-5 (W-L)
LWLWWWLWLL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Sofia Costoulas 1476 · Eva Alvarez Sande 1497
Sofia CostoulasEva Alvarez Sande
Our model47%53%
Market92%8%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Note: Sofia Costoulas makes many double faults (4.1/match).

Statistics

Sofia CostoulasEva Alvarez Sande
Win %40%50%
Win % · Hard 43% (7) 50% (4)
Sets (G-P)1-1.41.2-1.2
Games (G-P)10.7-11.910.3-10.9
Aces2.90.8
Double faults4.13.6
1st serve %62.7%58.9%
Break %43.3%32.8%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.5

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Sofia Costoulas

WLWLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
04/08 Gabriela Knutson
WTA Warsaw · Hard
0-2 6-12 L
30/07 Maddison Inglis
WTA Vancouver · Hard
0-2 6-12 L
29/07 Lizette Cabrera
WTA Vancouver · Hard
2-0 12-4 W
20/07 Ayla Aksu
WTA Prague · Hard
1-2 13-14 L
19/07 Ayla Aksu
WTA Prague · Hard
2-0 13-7 W
18/07 Nao Hibino
WTA Prague · Hard
2-1 19-16 W
14/07 Tereza Valentova
WTA Athens · Hard
0-2 3-12 L
23/06 Storm Hunter
Wimbledon Women · Grass
0-2 9-13 L
01/06 Sapfo Sakellaridi
WTA Foggia · Clay
2-1 14-13 W
28/05 Nadia Podoroska
W75 Zaragoza · ~Clay
1-2 12-16 L

Eva Alvarez Sande

WLWLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
04/08 Kira Pavlova
W75 Ourense
0-2 2-12 L
06/07 Cagla Buyukakcay
W50 Corroios-Seixal
1-2 10-16 L
05/07 Lauryn John-Baptiste
W50 Corroios-Seixal
2-1 15-11 W
02/07 Neus Torner Sensano
W15 Getxo · ~Clay
0-2 3-12 L
30/06 Sina Herrmann
W15 Getxo · ~Clay
2-0 13-6 W
29/06 Delia Gaillard
W15 Getxo · ~Clay
2-0 12-2 W
28/05 Allison Wang
W15 Lakewood · ~Hard
1-2 13-16 L
27/05 Sophie Suh
W15 Lakewood · ~Hard
2-1 17-14 W
26/05 Isabella Foshee
W15 Lakewood · ~Hard
2-0 13-8 W
14/08 Malene Helgo
ITF W35 Vigo · Hard
0-2 5-12 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Sofia Costoulas vs Eva Alvarez Sande?

Our model gives 72% to Sofia Costoulas, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.