Tennis · M15 Astana · 06/08, 07:00

Prediction: Egor Pleshivtsev vs Ryo Tabata

Team pages: Egor Pleshivtsev · Ryo Tabata

Prediction summary
Winner
46% 54%
Egor Pleshivtsev Ryo Tabata
Estimated games
21.2
Recent form · 10 last
Egor Pleshivtsev 5-5 (W-L)
WLWWLWLWLL
Ryo Tabata 6-4 (W-L)
WWLLWLWWLW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Egor Pleshivtsev 1489 · Ryo Tabata 1554
Egor PleshivtsevRyo Tabata
Our model41%59%
Market50%50%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ryo Tabata (rating 1489 vs 1554).

Statistics

Egor PleshivtsevRyo Tabata
Win %50%70%
Win % · Clay 33% (3) 75% (8)
Sets (G-P)1.1-1.21.4-0.8
Games (G-P)11.2-11.110.5-8.8
Aces5.51.4
Double faults2.62.3
1st serve %71%60%
Break %37.2%44.9%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.2

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Egor Pleshivtsev

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
04/08 Kasidit Samrej
M15 Astana
2-1 16-14 W
16/07 Amir Omarkhanov
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
0-2 6-10 L
15/07 Rahul Dhokia
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-0 12-4 W
09/07 Roan Jones
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
0-2 3-12 L
07/07 Digvijay Pratap Singh
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-1 17-14 W
17/06 Andrea Colombo
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
0-2 10-13 L
04/06 Petr Bar Biryukov
M15 Tsaghkadzor · ~Clay
1-2 14-18 L
02/06 Jan Wygona
M15 Tsaghkadzor · ~Clay
2-0 13-9 W
28/05 Kacper Szymkowiak
M15 Tsaghkadzor · ~Clay
0-2 9-13 L
05/05 William Rejchtman Vinciguerra
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-0 12-4 W

Ryo Tabata

LWWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
04/08 Danial Rakhmatullayev
M15 Astana
2-0 12-4 W
30/07 Amir Omarkhanov
M15 Astana
0-2 3-12 L
02/07 Adrian Oetzbach
M15 Amstelveen · ~Clay
2-0 12-8 W
01/07 Lucca C Pignaton
M15 Amstelveen · ~Clay
2-0 12-4 W
26/06 Marc Majdandzic
M15 Alkmaar · ~Clay
0-2 5-12 L
25/06 Edward Etty
M15 Alkmaar · ~Clay
2-0 12-7 W
17/06 Max Alcala Gurri
Challenger Royan · Clay
0-2 4-12 L
16/06 Yanki Erel
Challenger Royan · Clay
2-1 19-16 W
15/06 Lorenzo Angelini
Challenger Royan · Clay
2-0 13-5 W
14/06 Robinson Le Meur
Challenger Royan · Clay
2-1 13-8 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Egor Pleshivtsev vs Ryo Tabata?

Our model gives 54% to Ryo Tabata, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.