Tennis · M15 Astana · 04/08, 08:30
Prediction: Volodymyr Iakubenko vs Sergey Petrov
Team pages: Volodymyr Iakubenko · Sergey Petrov
Prediction summary
Winner
Volodymyr Iakubenko
Sergey Petrov
Estimated games
21.1
Recent form · 10 last
Volodymyr Iakubenko
3-7 (W-L)
Sergey Petrov
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Volodymyr Iakubenko 1483 · Sergey Petrov 1514
| Volodymyr Iakubenko | Sergey Petrov | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 54% |
| Market | 59% | 41% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Sergey Petrov dominates on serve: 7.1 aces and 41.5% break avg.
- Note: Volodymyr Iakubenko makes many double faults (6.3/match).
- Note: Sergey Petrov makes many double faults (5.9/match).
Statistics
| Volodymyr Iakubenko | Sergey Petrov | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 44% (9) | 50% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.8-1.4 | 1.2-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.8-12.2 | 10.2-9.3 |
| Aces | 5.5 | 7.1 |
| Double faults | 6.3 | 5.9 |
| 1st serve % | 69.4% | 77.3% |
| Break % | 38.5% | 41.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Volodymyr Iakubenko
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/07 | Amir Omarkhanov M15 Astana |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 09/07 | Logan Zapp M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 08/07 | Aziz Ouakaa M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 19-17 | W |
| 19/06 | Ivan Marrero Curbelo M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-11 | L |
| 18/06 | Matas Vasiliauskas M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 16/06 | Amir Milushev M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 12/06 | Maxwell McKennon M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 10/06 | Daniel Phillips M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-1 | 14-15 | W |
| 17/05 | Naoya Honda Challenger Bengaluru · Hard |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 11/05 | Alastair Gray Challenger Bengaluru · Hard |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
Sergey Petrov
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/07 | Sora Fukuda M15 Astana |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 29/07 | Saki Tange M15 Astana |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 28/07 | Muzammil Murtaza M15 Astana |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 27/07 | Erasyl Bakhtiyar M15 Astana |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 22/04 | Tim Vaisman M25 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 21/04 | Hugo Soares M25 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-1 | 11-8 | W |
| 20/04 | Andre Meinertz M25 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 16/04 | Robert Strombachs M25 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 15/04 | Viktor Frydrych M25 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 01/04 | Sergey Fomin M25 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Volodymyr Iakubenko vs Sergey Petrov?
Our model gives 53% to Volodymyr Iakubenko, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.