Tennis · M15 Astana · 04/08, 07:00
Prediction: Ofek Shimanov vs Riku Takahata
Team pages: Ofek Shimanov · Riku Takahata
Prediction summary
Winner
Ofek Shimanov
Riku Takahata
Estimated games
21.7
Recent form · 10 last
Ofek Shimanov
5-5 (W-L)
Riku Takahata
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ofek Shimanov 1554 · Riku Takahata 1508
| Ofek Shimanov | Riku Takahata | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 57% | 43% |
| Market | 66% | 34% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ofek Shimanov (rating 1554 vs 1508).
Statistics
| Ofek Shimanov | Riku Takahata | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 71% (7) | 57% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.9 | 1.3-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.6-10.3 | 11.1-11.1 |
| Aces | 2.3 | 3.1 |
| Double faults | 2.1 | 2 |
| 1st serve % | 68.6% | 64.6% |
| Break % | 45.2% | 49.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ofek Shimanov
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/07 | Danial Rakhmatullayev M15 Astana |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 28/07 | Min Ho Ko M15 Astana |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 27/07 | Islam Orynbasar M15 Astana |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 17/07 | Jordan Hasson M25 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 16/07 | Devin Badenhorst M25 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 15/07 | Jeffrey Strydom M25 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 12/07 | Khololwam Montsi M15 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 11/07 | Charlie Robertson M15 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
2-1 | 18-16 | W |
| 09/07 | Preston Brown M15 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 08/07 | Giovanni Ciocca M15 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Riku Takahata
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/07 | Kasidit Samrej M15 Astana |
1-2 | 16-19 | L |
| 28/07 | Arkhip Kozlov M15 Astana |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 27/07 | Makar Krivoshchekov M15 Astana |
2-1 | 13-11 | W |
| 08/07 | Kasidit Samrej M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 07/07 | Daisuke Sumizawa M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 02/07 | Omar Jasika M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 01/07 | Yusuke Kusuhara M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 30/06 | Daisuke Sumizawa M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 11/06 | Jake Delaney M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 09/06 | Saki Tange M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ofek Shimanov vs Riku Takahata?
Our model gives 62% to Ofek Shimanov, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.