Tennis · M15 Astana · 02/08, 08:00
Prediction: Petr Bar Biryukov vs Grigory Shebekin
Team pages: Petr Bar Biryukov · Grigory Shebekin
Prediction summary
Winner
Petr Bar Biryukov
Grigory Shebekin
Estimated games
24.5
Recent form · 10 last
Petr Bar Biryukov
5-5 (W-L)
Grigory Shebekin
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Petr Bar Biryukov 1483 · Grigory Shebekin 1483
| Petr Bar Biryukov | Grigory Shebekin | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 50% |
| Market | 71% | 29% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Grigory Shebekin dominates on serve: 7.7 aces and 40% break avg.
- Note: Petr Bar Biryukov makes many double faults (5.4/match).
Statistics
| Petr Bar Biryukov | Grigory Shebekin | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 20% (5) | 0% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.3 | 1.3-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.2-11.9 | 12.8-14.2 |
| Aces | 10.5 | 7.7 |
| Double faults | 5.4 | 1.9 |
| 1st serve % | 76.5% | 67.2% |
| Break % | 39% | 40% |
Estimated total games (ours)
24.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Petr Bar Biryukov
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08 | Damir Zhalgasbay M15 Astana |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 31/07 | Shunsuke Mitsui M15 Astana |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 29/07 | Saveliy Ivanov M15 Astana |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 19/07 | Luca Staeheli Challenger Zug · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 14/07 | Florian Broska Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 20/06 | Antoine Ghibaudo ATP Mallorca · Grass |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 16/06 | Stefano Travaglia Challenger Parma · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 06/06 | Roman Safiullin ATP Stuttgart · Grass |
1-2 | 16-19 | L |
| 05/06 | Ruslan Tiukaev M15 Tsaghkadzor · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 04/06 | Egor Pleshivtsev M15 Tsaghkadzor · ~Clay |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
Grigory Shebekin
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/05 | Fryderyk Lechno-Wasiutynski M15 Tsaghkadzor · ~Clay |
1-2 | 16-18 | L |
| 13/05 | David Eichenseher M25 Hurghada · ~Clay |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 06/05 | Arjun Rathi M15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 12/04 | Daniel Siniakov M25 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 11/04 | Karan Singh M25 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 10/04 | Paul Jubb M25 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-15 | W |
| 09/04 | Karim Ibrahim M25 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-17 | W |
| 08/04 | Kris Van Wyk M25 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 02/04 | Marek Gengel M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 01/04 | Ruslan Kastsiukevich M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Petr Bar Biryukov vs Grigory Shebekin?
Our model gives 62% to Petr Bar Biryukov, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.