Tennis · W15 Kursumlijska Banja · 30/07, 10:00
Prediction: Vittoria Paganetti vs Gala Ivanovic
Team pages: Vittoria Paganetti · Gala Ivanovic
Prediction summary
Winner
Vittoria Paganetti
Gala Ivanovic
Estimated games
21.1
Recent form · 10 last
Vittoria Paganetti
5-5 (W-L)
Gala Ivanovic
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Vittoria Paganetti 1478 · Gala Ivanovic 1510
| Vittoria Paganetti | Gala Ivanovic | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 45% | 55% |
| Market | 75% | 25% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Vittoria Paganetti makes many double faults (9.4/match).
Statistics
| Vittoria Paganetti | Gala Ivanovic | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 43% (7) | 50% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.3 | 1.2-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.5-10.3 | 10.6-9.2 |
| Aces | 0.7 | 0.4 |
| Double faults | 9.4 | 3.4 |
| 1st serve % | 55.6% | 61.1% |
| Break % | 46.2% | 57.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Vittoria Paganetti
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/07 | Sarafina Olivia Hansen W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 21/07 | Lavinia Tanasie W75 Cordenons |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 16/07 | Antonia Stoyanov W35 Torino |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 15/07 | Greta Rizzetto W35 Torino |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 01/07 | Lia Karatancheva W35 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 23/06 | Alja Senica W35 Tarvisio · ~Clay |
1-2 | 16-13 | L |
| 19/06 | Gabriela Ce W35 San Gregorio · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 18/06 | Paula Ormaechea W35 San Gregorio · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 17/06 | Francesca Gandolfi W35 San Gregorio · ~Clay |
2-1 | 19-15 | W |
| 02/06 | Lucia Bronzetti WTA Foggia · Clay |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
Gala Ivanovic
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/07 | Masa Jankovic W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 24/07 | Emma Ottavia Ghirardato W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 23/07 | Ulyana Hrabavets W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 22/07 | Ela Nala Milic W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 01/07 | Anna Petkovic W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-1 | 2-6 | L |
| 25/06 | Tian Jialin W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 24/06 | Andzhelina Kostova W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 17/06 | Aruzhan Sagandikova W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 11/06 | Mia Horvit W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 10/06 | Elena Milutinovic W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Vittoria Paganetti vs Gala Ivanovic?
Our model gives 62% to Vittoria Paganetti, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.