Tennis · W15 Kursumlijska Banja · 30/07, 09:00
Prediction: Warda Ait El Bachir vs Arina Bulatova
Team pages: Warda Ait El Bachir · Arina Bulatova
Prediction summary
Winner
Warda Ait El Bachir
Arina Bulatova
Estimated games
20
Recent form · 10 last
Warda Ait El Bachir
6-4 (W-L)
Arina Bulatova
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Warda Ait El Bachir 1547 · Arina Bulatova 1505
| Warda Ait El Bachir | Arina Bulatova | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 44% |
| Market | 25% | 75% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Warda Ait El Bachir (rating 1547 vs 1505).
- Note: Arina Bulatova makes many double faults (5.3/match).
Statistics
| Warda Ait El Bachir | Arina Bulatova | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 67% (9) | 50% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-0.8 | 1.2-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.2-7.2 | 10.4-10.9 |
| Aces | 0.2 | 0.5 |
| Double faults | 3.5 | 5.3 |
| 1st serve % | 64.9% | 59.9% |
| Break % | 57% | 48.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Warda Ait El Bachir
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/07 | Ava Schueller W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 27/07 | Andjelija Markovic W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 20/07 | Anastasia Mozgaleva W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 05/07 | Josy Daems W75 The Hague |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 17/06 | Daria Egorova W35 Mohammedia · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 15/06 | Maria Mikhailova W35 Mohammedia · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 11/06 | Aran Teixido Garcia W35 Casablanca · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 10/06 | Manal Ennaciri W35 Casablanca · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 09/06 | Allegra Fiorani W35 Casablanca · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 03/06 | Marta Soriano Santiago W15 Casablanca · ~Clay |
0-2 | 0-12 | L |
Arina Bulatova
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/07 | Charlotte Van Zonneveld W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 16/07 | Selena Janicijevic W50 Darmstadt |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 15/07 | Lola Giza W50 Darmstadt |
2-0 | 11-5 | W |
| 14/07 | Georgina Groth W50 Darmstadt |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 13/07 | Dia Evtimova W50 Darmstadt |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 06/07 | Berfu Cengiz W100 Aschaffenburg |
0-2 | 2-11 | L |
| 01/07 | Salma Drugdova W15 Mogyorod · ~Clay |
1-2 | 9-14 | L |
| 10/06 | Mariia Lazarenko W35 Nice |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 25/05 | Rasheeda McAdoo W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 24/05 | Ralitsa Alexandrova W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Warda Ait El Bachir vs Arina Bulatova?
Our model gives 61% to Arina Bulatova, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.