Tennis · M15 Astana · 29/07, 11:30
Prediction: Riku Takahata vs Kasidit Samrej
Team pages: Riku Takahata · Kasidit Samrej
Prediction summary
Winner
Riku Takahata
Kasidit Samrej
Estimated games
21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Riku Takahata
5-5 (W-L)
Kasidit Samrej
4-6 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Riku Takahata
0–1
Kasidit Samrej
(1 last)
- 08 Jul0-2 5-12L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Riku Takahata 1538 · Kasidit Samrej 1522
| Riku Takahata | Kasidit Samrej | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 48% |
| Market | 12% | 88% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Riku Takahata 0–1 Kasidit Samrej (1).
Statistics
| Riku Takahata | Kasidit Samrej | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 63% (8) | 50% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.8 | 1.3-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.7-9.7 | 12.3-11 |
| Aces | 2.8 | 7.2 |
| Double faults | 1.5 | 3.1 |
| 1st serve % | 65.6% | 77.3% |
| Break % | 50.5% | 31.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.5
H2H · Riku Takahata 0 – 1 Kasidit Samrej (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Riku Takahata 0–1 Kasidit Samrej
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/07/26 M15 Tokyo | 0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Riku Takahata
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/07 | Arkhip Kozlov M15 Astana |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 27/07 | Makar Krivoshchekov M15 Astana |
2-1 | 13-11 | W |
| 08/07 | Kasidit Samrej M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 07/07 | Daisuke Sumizawa M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 02/07 | Omar Jasika M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 01/07 | Yusuke Kusuhara M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 30/06 | Daisuke Sumizawa M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 11/06 | Jake Delaney M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 09/06 | Saki Tange M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 08/06 | Daisuke Sumizawa M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Kasidit Samrej
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/07 | Makoto Ochi M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 08/07 | Riku Takahata M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 04/07 | Sanhui Shin M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 03/07 | Shintaro Imai M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 02/07 | Taisei Ichikawa M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 01/07 | Yu Tanaka M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 17/06 | Alberto Lim M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-10 | L |
| 11/06 | Pawit Sornlaksup M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-13 | L |
| 10/06 | Lingxi Zhao M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 16/05 | Anton Shepp M15 Nakhon Pathom · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Riku Takahata vs Kasidit Samrej?
Our model gives 70% to Kasidit Samrej, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.