Tennis · M15 Astana · 29/07, 11:30
Prediction: Sergey Petrov vs Saki Tange
Team pages: Sergey Petrov · Saki Tange
Prediction summary
Winner
Sergey Petrov
Saki Tange
Estimated games
20.4
Recent form · 10 last
Sergey Petrov
6-4 (W-L)
Saki Tange
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sergey Petrov 1514 · Saki Tange 1477
| Sergey Petrov | Saki Tange | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 55% | 45% |
| Market | 46% | 54% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Sergey Petrov dominates on serve: 6.1 aces and 41.9% break avg.
- Note: Sergey Petrov makes many double faults (5/match).
Statistics
| Sergey Petrov | Saki Tange | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (8) | 38% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-0.9 | 1-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.9-8.7 | 10-10.8 |
| Aces | 6.1 | 1.5 |
| Double faults | 5 | 2.8 |
| 1st serve % | 76.6% | 66.5% |
| Break % | 41.9% | 53.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sergey Petrov
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/07 | Muzammil Murtaza M15 Astana |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 27/07 | Erasyl Bakhtiyar M15 Astana |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 22/04 | Tim Vaisman M25 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 21/04 | Hugo Soares M25 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-1 | 11-8 | W |
| 20/04 | Andre Meinertz M25 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 16/04 | Robert Strombachs M25 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 15/04 | Viktor Frydrych M25 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 01/04 | Sergey Fomin M25 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 31/03 | Denis Vishenchuk Vishenko M25 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 25/03 | Daniil Sarksian M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Saki Tange
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/07 | Daniel Yurekli M15 Astana |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 07/07 | Yuto Oki M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 01/07 | Matthew Dellavedova M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 30/06 | Shu Matsuoka M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-1 | 11-11 | W |
| 16/06 | Colin Sinclair M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
1-2 | 19-20 | L |
| 15/06 | Noritaka Koizumi M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 8-3 | W |
| 09/06 | Riku Takahata M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 08/06 | Elijah Cham M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 27/05 | Sora Fukuda M15 Karuizawa · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 03/11 | Ryuki Matsuda Challenger Matsuyama · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sergey Petrov vs Saki Tange?
Our model gives 50% to Sergey Petrov, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.