Tennis · UTR Pro Auburn Women · 29/07, 16:00
Prediction: Ava Esposito Cogan vs Andrea Chacon
Team pages: Andrea Chacon
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Prediction summary
Winner
Ava Esposito Cogan
Andrea Chacon
Estimated games
21
Recent form · 10 last
Ava Esposito Cogan
7-3 (W-L)
Andrea Chacon
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ava Esposito Cogan 1509 · Andrea Chacon 1493
| Ava Esposito Cogan | Andrea Chacon | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 48% |
| Market | 86% | 14% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Ava Esposito Cogan makes many double faults (7/match).
Statistics
| Ava Esposito Cogan | Andrea Chacon | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (10) | 38% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.1 | 1.2-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.7-11 | 9.9-9.7 |
| Aces | 2.3 | 0.7 |
| Double faults | 7 | 2.4 |
| 1st serve % | 62.6% | 56.1% |
| Break % | 42.4% | 46.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ava Esposito Cogan
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/07 | Hayley Roberts UTR Pro Auburn Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 01/09 | Zoe Hammond UTR Pro San Diego Women · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 31/08 | Alana Boyce UTR Pro San Diego Women · Hard |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 31/08 | Riley Crowder UTR Pro San Diego Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 30/08 | Alejandra Cruz UTR Pro San Diego Women · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 29/08 | Veronika Miroshnichenko UTR Pro San Diego Women · Hard |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 10/08 | Emily Deming UTR Pro Athens Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 08/08 | Sasha Dimitrov UTR Pro Athens Women · Hard |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 07/08 | Brooke L Schafer UTR Pro Athens Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 07/08 | Alice Xu UTR Pro Athens Women · Hard |
1-2 | 10-14 | L |
Andrea Chacon
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/07 | Mckenzie Shelton UTR Pro Auburn Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 11/07 | Aya Manning UTR Pro Winston-Salem Women · Hard |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 10/07 | Valerie Shue UTR Pro Winston-Salem Women · Hard |
1-2 | 15-15 | L |
| 09/07 | Victoria Mann UTR Pro Winston-Salem Women · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 08/07 | Lyla Byers UTR Pro Winston-Salem Women · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 07/07 | Mariana Manyoma UTR Pro Winston-Salem Women · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 16/08 | Sasha Dimitrov UTR Pro Charlotte Women · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 16/08 | Lillie Murphy UTR Pro Charlotte Women · Hard |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 15/08 | Caitlin Flower UTR Pro Charlotte Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 14/08 | Jantje Tilbuerger UTR Pro Charlotte Women · Hard |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ava Esposito Cogan vs Andrea Chacon?
Our model gives 71% to Ava Esposito Cogan, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.