Tennis · UTR Pro Auburn Women · 06/08, 17:30
Prediction: Lexie Weir vs Kate Sharabura
Team pages: Lexie Weir · Kate Sharabura
Prediction summary
Winner
Lexie Weir
Kate Sharabura
Estimated games
20.9
Recent form · 10 last
Lexie Weir
5-5 (W-L)
Kate Sharabura
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Lexie Weir 1562 · Kate Sharabura 1498
| Lexie Weir | Kate Sharabura | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 59% | 41% |
| Market | 66% | 34% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Lexie Weir (rating 1562 vs 1498).
Statistics
| Lexie Weir | Kate Sharabura | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 70% (10) | 50% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.8 | 1.1-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 11-9.1 | 10.3-11.5 |
| Aces | 2.1 | 2.9 |
| Double faults | 1.7 | 3.9 |
| 1st serve % | 62.8% | 60.3% |
| Break % | 54.3% | 54.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lexie Weir
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/08 | Kaya Moe UTR Pro Auburn Women · Hard |
2-1 | 13-11 | W |
| 04/08 | Gabby Barrera UTR Pro Auburn Women · Hard |
2-1 | 15-15 | W |
| 01/08 | Ava Esposito Cogan UTR Pro Auburn Women · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 30/07 | Kathryn Wilson UTR Pro Auburn Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 29/07 | Nicole Okhtenberg UTR Pro Auburn Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 28/07 | Jenelle Roberts UTR Pro Auburn Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 25/07 | Natalie Oliver UTR Pro Tallahassee Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 24/07 | Anna Arkadianou UTR Pro Tallahassee Women · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 23/07 | Sobee Oak UTR Pro Tallahassee Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 23/07 | Mary Boyce Deatherage UTR Pro Tallahassee Women · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Kate Sharabura
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/08 | Gabby Barrera UTR Pro Auburn Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 04/08 | Kaya Moe UTR Pro Auburn Women · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 23/05 | Georgia Kulevich UTR Pro Tuscaloosa Women · Hard |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 22/05 | Germany Davis UTR Pro Tuscaloosa Women · Hard |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 21/05 | Addison Bowman UTR Pro Tuscaloosa Women · Hard |
1-2 | 11-17 | L |
| 20/05 | Baylen Brown UTR Pro Tuscaloosa Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 20/05 | Isid Hernandez UTR Pro Tuscaloosa Women · Hard |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
| 11/05 | Aliesia Reva W15 Monzon · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 03/05 | Michelle Dzjachangirova UTR Pro Carvoeiro Women · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 02/05 | Isabel Pascual Montalvo UTR Pro Carvoeiro Women · Hard |
2-1 | 15-9 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lexie Weir vs Kate Sharabura?
Our model gives 63% to Lexie Weir, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.