Tennis · UTR Pro Auburn Women · 06/08, 15:30
Prediction: Ava Esposito Cogan vs Brooke Lynn Schafer
Team pages: Ava Esposito Cogan · Brooke Lynn Schafer
Prediction summary
Winner
Ava Esposito Cogan
Brooke Lynn Schafer
Estimated games
20.8
Recent form · 10 last
Ava Esposito Cogan
7-3 (W-L)
Brooke Lynn Schafer
3-7 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Ava Esposito Cogan
2–0
Brooke Lynn Schafer
(2 last)
- 07 Aug2-0 13-8W
- 04 Jun2-0 12-5W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ava Esposito Cogan 1627 · Brooke Lynn Schafer 1519
| Ava Esposito Cogan | Brooke Lynn Schafer | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 65% | 35% |
| Market | 78% | 22% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ava Esposito Cogan (rating 1627 vs 1519).
- Ava Esposito Cogan is in better form: 90% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Ava Esposito Cogan 2–0 Brooke Lynn Schafer (2).
- Note: Ava Esposito Cogan makes many double faults (7.2/match).
- Note: Brooke Lynn Schafer makes many double faults (4.4/match).
Statistics
| Ava Esposito Cogan | Brooke Lynn Schafer | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 90% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 90% (10) | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.8-0.5 | 1.2-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.2-8.7 | 9.7-10 |
| Aces | 3 | 2 |
| Double faults | 7.2 | 4.4 |
| 1st serve % | 66.3% | 58.4% |
| Break % | 50.1% | 46.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.8
H2H · Ava Esposito Cogan 2 – 0 Brooke Lynn Schafer (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Ava Esposito Cogan 2–0 Brooke Lynn Schafer
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/08/25 UTR Pro Athens Women | 2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 04/06/25 UTR Pro Manchester Women | 2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ava Esposito Cogan
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/08 | Monika Wojcik UTR Pro Auburn Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 04/08 | Kesmat El Tawil UTR Pro Auburn Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 01/08 | Lexie Weir UTR Pro Auburn Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 31/07 | Ireland O'Brien UTR Pro Auburn Women · Hard |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 30/07 | Mckenzie Shelton UTR Pro Auburn Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 29/07 | Andrea Chacon UTR Pro Auburn Women · Hard |
2-1 | 19-15 | W |
| 28/07 | Hayley Roberts UTR Pro Auburn Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 01/09 | Zoe Hammond UTR Pro San Diego Women · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 31/08 | Alana Boyce UTR Pro San Diego Women · Hard |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 31/08 | Riley Crowder UTR Pro San Diego Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Brooke Lynn Schafer
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/08 | Kesmat El Tawil UTR Pro Auburn Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 04/08 | Monika Wojcik UTR Pro Auburn Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 10/10 | Cara Maria Mester UTR Pro Champaign Women · Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 09/10 | Alina Vysochenko UTR Pro Champaign Women · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 08/10 | Andrea Nova UTR Pro Champaign Women · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 08/10 | Ekaterina Ivanova UTR Pro Champaign Women · Hard |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 06/10 | Rose Seccia UTR Pro Champaign Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 17/09 | Isabel Adrover Gallego UTR Pro Lincoln Women · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 17/09 | Natalia Trigosso UTR Pro Lincoln Women · Hard |
2-1 | 14-10 | W |
| 16/09 | Ana Carmen Zamburek UTR Pro Lincoln Women · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ava Esposito Cogan vs Brooke Lynn Schafer?
Our model gives 72% to Ava Esposito Cogan, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.