Tennis · UTR Pro Auburn Women · 07/08, 16:00
Prediction: Lexie Weir vs Ava Esposito Cogan
Team pages: Lexie Weir · Ava Esposito Cogan
Prediction summary
Winner
Lexie Weir
Ava Esposito Cogan
Estimated games
20.8
Recent form · 10 last
Lexie Weir
6-4 (W-L)
Ava Esposito Cogan
7-3 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Lexie Weir
0–1
Ava Esposito Cogan
(1 last)
- 01 Aug0-2 8-13L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Lexie Weir 1590 · Ava Esposito Cogan 1622
| Lexie Weir | Ava Esposito Cogan | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 45% | 55% |
| Market | 21% | 79% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Lexie Weir 0–1 Ava Esposito Cogan (1).
- Note: Ava Esposito Cogan makes many double faults (6.8/match).
Statistics
| Lexie Weir | Ava Esposito Cogan | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 90% |
| Win % · Hard | 80% (10) | 90% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.6 | 1.8-0.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.5-8.4 | 13.2-8.5 |
| Aces | 2.2 | 3.1 |
| Double faults | 1.7 | 6.8 |
| 1st serve % | 64.1% | 66.4% |
| Break % | 54.6% | 51.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.8
H2H · Lexie Weir 0 – 1 Ava Esposito Cogan (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Lexie Weir 0–1 Ava Esposito Cogan
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08/26 UTR Pro Auburn Women | 0-2 | 8-13 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lexie Weir
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/08 | Kate Sharabura UTR Pro Auburn Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 05/08 | Kaya Moe UTR Pro Auburn Women · Hard |
2-1 | 13-11 | W |
| 04/08 | Gabby Barrera UTR Pro Auburn Women · Hard |
2-1 | 15-15 | W |
| 01/08 | Ava Esposito Cogan UTR Pro Auburn Women · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 30/07 | Kathryn Wilson UTR Pro Auburn Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 29/07 | Nicole Okhtenberg UTR Pro Auburn Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 28/07 | Jenelle Roberts UTR Pro Auburn Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 25/07 | Natalie Oliver UTR Pro Tallahassee Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 24/07 | Anna Arkadianou UTR Pro Tallahassee Women · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 23/07 | Sobee Oak UTR Pro Tallahassee Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
Ava Esposito Cogan
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/08 | Brooke Lynn Schafer UTR Pro Auburn Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 05/08 | Monika Wojcik UTR Pro Auburn Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 04/08 | Kesmat El Tawil UTR Pro Auburn Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 01/08 | Lexie Weir UTR Pro Auburn Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 31/07 | Ireland O'Brien UTR Pro Auburn Women · Hard |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 30/07 | Mckenzie Shelton UTR Pro Auburn Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 29/07 | Andrea Chacon UTR Pro Auburn Women · Hard |
2-1 | 19-15 | W |
| 28/07 | Hayley Roberts UTR Pro Auburn Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 01/09 | Zoe Hammond UTR Pro San Diego Women · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 31/08 | Alana Boyce UTR Pro San Diego Women · Hard |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lexie Weir vs Ava Esposito Cogan?
Our model gives 68% to Ava Esposito Cogan, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.