Tennis · W15 Kursumlijska Banja · 29/07, 09:00
Prediction: Andrea Obradovic vs Lya Fernandez
Team pages: Andrea Obradovic
Prediction summary
Winner
Andrea Obradovic
Lya Fernandez
Estimated games
22.2
Recent form · 10 last
Andrea Obradovic
6-4 (W-L)
Lya Fernandez
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Andrea Obradovic 1604 · Lya Fernandez 1543
| Andrea Obradovic | Lya Fernandez | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 59% | 41% |
| Market | 66% | 34% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Andrea Obradovic (rating 1604 vs 1543).
- Note: Andrea Obradovic makes many double faults (5.5/match).
- Note: Lya Fernandez makes many double faults (7.8/match).
Statistics
| Andrea Obradovic | Lya Fernandez | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 80% (10) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.6 | 1.2-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.1-9.4 | 10.8-11 |
| Aces | 2 | 0.1 |
| Double faults | 5.5 | 7.8 |
| 1st serve % | 60% | 49.9% |
| Break % | 59.8% | 44.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Andrea Obradovic
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/07 | Emma Ottavia Ghirardato W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 22/07 | Maria Golovina W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 20/07 | Mathilde Ngijol Carre W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 12/07 | Mia Horvit UTR Pro Winston-Salem · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 11/07 | Andrea Nova UTR Pro Winston-Salem · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 09/07 | Alessandra Teodosescu UTR Pro Winston-Salem · Clay |
2-1 | 14-14 | W |
| 08/07 | Ida Clement UTR Pro Winston-Salem · Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 07/07 | Mia Chudejova UTR Pro Winston-Salem · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 06/07 | Khrystyna Vozniak UTR Pro Winston-Salem · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 25/06 | Nina Radovanovic W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Lya Fernandez
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/05 | Anna Kubareva W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 22/05 | Karla Popovic W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-15 | W |
| 21/05 | Andre Lukosiute W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 20/05 | Manon Favier W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
| 13/05 | Laia Petretic W35 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 0-8 | L |
| 09/05 | Yasmine Mansouri W35 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 08/05 | Iveta Dapkute W35 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 19-14 | W |
| 07/05 | Luciana Moyano W35 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
| 05/05 | Anna Kmiecik W35 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 30/04 | Laia Petretic W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Andrea Obradovic vs Lya Fernandez?
Our model gives 63% to Andrea Obradovic, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.