Tennis · W15 Kursumlijska Banja · 29/07, 09:00
Prediction: Maria F Herazo Gonzalez vs Mathilde Ngijol Carre
Team pages: Maria F Herazo Gonzalez · Mathilde Ngijol Carre
Prediction summary
Winner
Maria F Herazo Gonzalez
Mathilde Ngijol Carre
Estimated games
20.6
Recent form · 10 last
Maria F Herazo Gonzalez
4-6 (W-L)
Mathilde Ngijol Carre
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Maria F Herazo Gonzalez 1493 · Mathilde Ngijol Carre 1482
| Maria F Herazo Gonzalez | Mathilde Ngijol Carre | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 48% |
| Market | 61% | 39% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Maria F Herazo Gonzalez makes many double faults (4.8/match).
- Note: Mathilde Ngijol Carre makes many double faults (5.2/match).
Statistics
| Maria F Herazo Gonzalez | Mathilde Ngijol Carre | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 33% (3) | 40% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.1 | 1-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.1-9.4 | 10.2-10.9 |
| Aces | 0.7 | 0.9 |
| Double faults | 4.8 | 5.2 |
| 1st serve % | 58.7% | 55.7% |
| Break % | 40.1% | 41.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Maria F Herazo Gonzalez
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/07 | Carolina Bohrer Martins W75 Vacaria |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 21/07 | Polina Kaibekova W75 Vacaria |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 16/07 | Justina Maria Gonzalez Daniele W35 Sao Paulo |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 15/07 | Ana Filipa Santos W35 Sao Paulo |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 10/07 | Oceane Babel W15 Rio Claro |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 09/07 | Maria Paulina Perez Garcia W15 Rio Claro |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 08/07 | Ana Filipa Santos W15 Rio Claro |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 23/06 | Ana Carmen Zamburek W15 Asuncion · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 19/06 | Maria Florencia Urrutia W15 Luque · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 18/06 | Mariangel Estrella W15 Luque · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Mathilde Ngijol Carre
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/07 | Ekaterina Agureeva W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-1 | 13-9 | W |
| 20/07 | Andrea Obradovic W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 15/07 | Gloria De Santis W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 14/07 | Kristina Kovgan W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-1 | 13-9 | W |
| 29/06 | Seda Baslilar W35 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 18/02 | Julieta Pareja W35 Las Vegas · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 17/02 | Klara Kosan W35 Las Vegas · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 25/12 | Chelsea Fontenel W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 24/12 | Nahjime Dho W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 13-8 | W |
| 17/12 | Lan Mi W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Maria F Herazo Gonzalez vs Mathilde Ngijol Carre?
Our model gives 57% to Maria F Herazo Gonzalez, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.