Tennis · W15 Kursumlijska Banja · 28/07, 09:00
Prediction: Ustiniya Lekomtseva vs Ariadna Garcia Patron Canals
Team pages: Ustiniya Lekomtseva · Ariadna Garcia Patron Canals
Prediction summary
Winner
Ustiniya Lekomtseva
Ariadna Garcia Patron Canals
Estimated games
21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Ustiniya Lekomtseva
4-6 (W-L)
Ariadna Garcia Patron Canals
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ustiniya Lekomtseva 1447 · Ariadna Garcia Patron Canals 1462
| Ustiniya Lekomtseva | Ariadna Garcia Patron Canals | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 48% | 52% |
| Market | 59% | 41% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Ustiniya Lekomtseva makes many double faults (5.5/match).
- Note: Ariadna Garcia Patron Canals makes many double faults (5.7/match).
Statistics
| Ustiniya Lekomtseva | Ariadna Garcia Patron Canals | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 30% |
| Win % · Clay | 33% (6) | 50% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.7-1.4 | 0.9-1.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 7.7-10.8 | 10.6-13.2 |
| Aces | 0.5 | 0.6 |
| Double faults | 5.5 | 5.7 |
| 1st serve % | 51.9% | 56.7% |
| Break % | 62% | 49.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ustiniya Lekomtseva
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/07 | Sophie Luescher W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 07/07 | Teodora Vlajic W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 17/06 | Semra Aksu W15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 11/06 | Sofiia Bielinska W15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 10/06 | Hana Shabanpour W15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-0 | 11-3 | W |
| 04/06 | Deniz Dilek W15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 13/05 | Sandra Samir W35 Hurghada · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 08/05 | Sandra Samir W15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 07/05 | Nelli Ivanova W15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 06/05 | Luisa Hrda W15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Ariadna Garcia Patron Canals
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/07 | Noemi Maines W15 Gran Canaria |
1-2 | 15-18 | L |
| 10/02 | Midori Castillo Meza W15 Manacor |
0-2 | 2-11 | L |
| 13/11 | Cristina Diaz Adrover ITF W15 Nules · Clay |
1-2 | 9-18 | L |
| 11/11 | Ginebra Zoe Dominguez Riveros ITF W15 Nules · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 20/10 | Stefaniya Pushkar ITF W15 Villena · Hard |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 07/10 | Neus Torner Sensano ITF W35 Seville · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 06/10 | Aleksandra Pozarenko ITF W35 Seville · Clay |
2-1 | 9-10 | W |
| 30/09 | Noelia Bouzo Zanotti ITF W50 Baza |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 19/09 | Aran Teixido Garcia ITF W15 Ceuta · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 18/09 | Gabriela M Vancea ITF W15 Ceuta · Hard |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ustiniya Lekomtseva vs Ariadna Garcia Patron Canals?
Our model gives 54% to Ustiniya Lekomtseva, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.