Tennis · M15 Astana · 27/07, 08:30
Prediction: Rafael Giotis vs Andrea Motta
Prediction summary
Winner
Rafael Giotis
Andrea Motta
Estimated games
20.5
Recent form · 10 last
Rafael Giotis
2-8 (W-L)
Andrea Motta
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Rafael Giotis 1436 · Andrea Motta 1465
| Rafael Giotis | Andrea Motta | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 54% |
| Market | 38% | 63% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Rafael Giotis | Andrea Motta | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 25% (8) | 25% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.6-1.6 | 1.1-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 7.2-11.4 | 10.5-10.2 |
| Aces | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| Double faults | 3.7 | 2.4 |
| 1st serve % | 58.5% | 65.3% |
| Break % | 33.9% | 46.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Rafael Giotis
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/07 | Jack Loge M25 Metzingen |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 21/07 | Arthur Laborde M25 Metzingen |
2-1 | 11-12 | W |
| 30/06 | Dimitris Azoidis M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
0-2 | 0-7 | L |
| 24/06 | Keshav Chopra M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 18/06 | Ivan Marrero Curbelo M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 16/06 | Ruben Lebron Puerta M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 20/05 | Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine M15 Gaborone · ~Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 14/05 | Cooper Williams M15 Gaborone · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 13/05 | Allan Gatoto M15 Gaborone · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 04/05 | Simphiwe Ngwenya M15 Mbombela · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Andrea Motta
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/05 | Lorenzo Bocchi M15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
1-2 | 14-19 | L |
| 10/02 | Vlad Andrei Dancu M25 Antalya · ~Hard |
1-2 | 9-8 | L |
| 04/02 | Alexander Wagner M15 Antalya · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 03/02 | Botond Nagy M15 Antalya · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 05/11 | Maksim Shin M15 Antalya · ~Hard |
1-2 | 15-18 | L |
| 15/10 | Corentin Denolly ITF M25 Kigali · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 13/10 | Ioan A Teglas ITF M25 Kigali · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 08/10 | Max Houkes ITF M25 Kigali · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 06/10 | Ethan Terblanche ITF M25 Kigali · Clay |
2-1 | 11-7 | W |
| 05/10 | King Onyx Umuhoza ITF M25 Kigali · Clay |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Rafael Giotis vs Andrea Motta?
Our model gives 59% to Andrea Motta, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.