Tennis · M15 Astana · 27/07, 07:00
Prediction: Riku Takahata vs Makar Krivoshchekov
Prediction summary
Winner
Riku Takahata
Makar Krivoshchekov
Estimated games
20.5
Recent form · 10 last
Riku Takahata
4-6 (W-L)
Makar Krivoshchekov
2-8 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Riku Takahata 1501 · Makar Krivoshchekov 1429
| Riku Takahata | Makar Krivoshchekov | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 60% | 40% |
| Market | 75% | 25% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Riku Takahata (rating 1501 vs 1429).
- Riku Takahata is in better form: 50% recent wins.
- Note: Makar Krivoshchekov makes many double faults (4.3/match).
Statistics
| Riku Takahata | Makar Krivoshchekov | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 20% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (10) | 17% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.1 | 0.5-1.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.9-10.8 | 8.8-11.1 |
| Aces | 3.2 | 1.3 |
| Double faults | 1.8 | 4.3 |
| 1st serve % | 63.2% | 64.9% |
| Break % | 41.8% | 52.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Riku Takahata
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/07 | Kasidit Samrej M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 07/07 | Daisuke Sumizawa M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 02/07 | Omar Jasika M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 01/07 | Yusuke Kusuhara M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 30/06 | Daisuke Sumizawa M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 11/06 | Jake Delaney M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 09/06 | Saki Tange M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 08/06 | Daisuke Sumizawa M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 03/06 | Youssef Kadiri Hassani M15 Harmon · ~Hard |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 20/04 | Yuta Tomida M15 Singapore · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
Makar Krivoshchekov
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/06 | Leon Peranovic M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
1-2 | 12-10 | L |
| 26/05 | Amaury Raynel M15 Brcko · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 04/05 | Ilyos Abrorov M15 Islamabad · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 01/04 | Karim Ibrahim M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 24/03 | Luke Hooper M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 18/03 | Nicolas Tepmahc M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 09/12 | Ioannis Kountourakis M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 04/12 | Digvijay Pratap Singh ITF M15 Gwalior |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 02/12 | Vivaan Bidasaria ITF M15 Gwalior |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 24/11 | Suraj R Prabodh ITF M25 Bhopal · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Riku Takahata vs Makar Krivoshchekov?
Our model gives 68% to Riku Takahata, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.