Tennis · M15 Astana · 27/07, 07:00
Prediction: Muzammil Murtaza vs Alexander Ushakov
Prediction summary
Winner
Muzammil Murtaza
Alexander Ushakov
Estimated games
20.1
Recent form · 10 last
Muzammil Murtaza
5-5 (W-L)
Alexander Ushakov
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Muzammil Murtaza 1456 · Alexander Ushakov 1401
| Muzammil Murtaza | Alexander Ushakov | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 58% | 42% |
| Market | 83% | 17% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Muzammil Murtaza (rating 1456 vs 1401).
- Muzammil Murtaza is in better form: 40% recent wins.
- Note: Muzammil Murtaza makes many double faults (4.4/match).
Statistics
| Muzammil Murtaza | Alexander Ushakov | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 10% |
| Win % · Hard | 33% (9) | 11% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.4 | 0.7-1.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.6-10.8 | 8-11.1 |
| Aces | 3.5 | 1.4 |
| Double faults | 4.4 | 3.5 |
| 1st serve % | 64.1% | 62.7% |
| Break % | 36.2% | 38.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Muzammil Murtaza
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/07 | Mert Naci Turker M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 24/06 | Loan Lestir M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 16/06 | Aditya Kothari M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 10/06 | Rafael De Alba M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 06/05 | Artem Bukin M15 Islamabad · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 28/04 | Matas Vasiliauskas M15 Islamabad · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-12 | L |
| 02/03 | Hayato Matsuoka Challenger Fujairah · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 06/02 | Nicolas Jadoun Davis Cup |
2-1 | 14-14 | W |
| 27/11 | Denis Yevseyev Challenger Islamabad · Hard |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 25/11 | Yousaf Khalil Challenger Islamabad · Hard |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
Alexander Ushakov
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/05 | Aleksandre Shvangiradze M15 Kutaisi · ~Hard |
1-2 | 9-14 | L |
| 18/05 | Andre Megrabian M25 Kutaisi · ~Hard |
1-2 | 7-11 | L |
| 06/01 | Calin Apostol M25 Antalya · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 05/01 | Ilham Bakhshaliev M25 Antalya · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 10/12 | Luke Hooper M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 25/11 | James Beaven M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 26/10 | Tanakorn Srirat ITF M15 Hua Hin Qual |
1-2 | 8-11 | L |
| 19/10 | Sai Karteek Reddy Ganta ITF M15 Hua Hin · Hard |
1-2 | 7-10 | L |
| 29/09 | Christopher Papa M25 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
1-2 | 12-11 | L |
| 23/09 | Dorian Tremblay M25 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Muzammil Murtaza vs Alexander Ushakov?
Our model gives 72% to Muzammil Murtaza, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.