Tennis · W35 Saskatoon · 26/07, 20:00
Prediction: Ariana Arseneault vs Teah Chavez
Team pages: Ariana Arseneault · Teah Chavez
Prediction summary
Winner
Ariana Arseneault
Teah Chavez
Estimated games
21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Ariana Arseneault
8-2 (W-L)
Teah Chavez
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ariana Arseneault 1559 · Teah Chavez 1526
| Ariana Arseneault | Teah Chavez | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 55% | 45% |
| Market | 71% | 29% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Ariana Arseneault | Teah Chavez | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 0% (1) | 33% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.8 | 1.3-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.4-9.9 | 11-11.3 |
| Aces | 2.3 | 0.5 |
| Double faults | 3.1 | 2.6 |
| 1st serve % | 62.5% | 57.5% |
| Break % | 41.4% | 49.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ariana Arseneault
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/07 | Lizette Cabrera W35 Saskatoon |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 24/07 | Alyssa Ahn W35 Saskatoon |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 23/07 | Annabelle Xu W35 Saskatoon |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 21/07 | Clemence Mercier W35 Saskatoon |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 16/07 | Elizabeth Mandlik W75 Granby |
1-2 | 16-18 | L |
| 14/07 | Emma Dong W75 Granby |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 08/07 | Katie Volynets WTA Newport · Grass |
1-2 | 8-15 | L |
| 05/07 | Victoria Osuigwe WTA Newport · Grass |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
| 29/06 | Tatum Evans W100 Cary · ~Hard |
1-2 | 11-18 | L |
| 26/06 | Jo Yee Chan W35 Rome |
0-2 | 5-13 | L |
Teah Chavez
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/07 | Jia-Jing Lu W35 Saskatoon |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 24/07 | Miho Kuramochi W35 Saskatoon |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 23/07 | Erika Sema W35 Saskatoon |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 22/07 | Margaret Sohns W35 Saskatoon |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 14/07 | Kayo Nishimura W75 Granby |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 07/07 | Luciana Perry W50 Columbus |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 29/10 | Olivia Lincer ITF W75 Toronto · Hard |
0-2 | 3-11 | L |
| 24/10 | Ayumi Koshiishi ITF W75 Saguenay · Hard |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 22/10 | Adriana Reami ITF W75 Saguenay · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 17/10 | Raphaelle Lacasse ITF W35 Quebec City |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ariana Arseneault vs Teah Chavez?
Our model gives 64% to Ariana Arseneault, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.