Tennis · W35 Saskatoon · 24/07, 20:30
Prediction: Ariana Arseneault vs Alyssa Ahn
Prediction summary
Winner
Ariana Arseneault
Alyssa Ahn
Estimated games
21.4
Recent form · 10 last
Ariana Arseneault
7-3 (W-L)
Alyssa Ahn
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ariana Arseneault 1542 · Alyssa Ahn 1535
| Ariana Arseneault | Alyssa Ahn | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 51% | 49% |
| Market | 77% | 23% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Ariana Arseneault | Alyssa Ahn | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 0% (1) | 60% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.9 | 1.5-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.7-10.3 | 11.4-10 |
| Aces | 1.7 | 0.6 |
| Double faults | 3.5 | 2.2 |
| 1st serve % | 64.4% | 57.6% |
| Break % | 47.8% | 46.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ariana Arseneault
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/07 | Annabelle Xu W35 Saskatoon |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 21/07 | Clemence Mercier W35 Saskatoon |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 16/07 | Elizabeth Mandlik W75 Granby |
1-2 | 16-18 | L |
| 14/07 | Emma Dong W75 Granby |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 08/07 | Katie Volynets WTA Newport · Grass |
1-2 | 8-15 | L |
| 05/07 | Victoria Osuigwe WTA Newport · Grass |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
| 29/06 | Tatum Evans W100 Cary · ~Hard |
1-2 | 11-18 | L |
| 26/06 | Jo Yee Chan W35 Rome |
0-2 | 5-13 | L |
| 25/06 | Elizabeth Ionescu W35 Rome |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 24/06 | Monika Ekstrand W35 Rome |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Alyssa Ahn
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/07 | Ana Grubor W35 Saskatoon |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 22/07 | Nadia Lagaev W35 Saskatoon |
2-1 | 12-10 | W |
| 10/07 | Alina Shcherbinina W15 Rancho Santa Fe |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 09/07 | Isabella Foshee W15 Rancho Santa Fe |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 08/07 | Jessica Bernales W15 Rancho Santa Fe |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 01/07 | Katherine Hui W15 San Diego · ~Hard |
1-2 | 12-13 | L |
| 28/06 | Alexis Nguyen W15 Claremont · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 27/06 | Midori Castillo Meza W15 Claremont · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 26/06 | Salma Ewing W15 Claremont · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 25/06 | Anya Arora W15 Claremont · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ariana Arseneault vs Alyssa Ahn?
Our model gives 65% to Ariana Arseneault, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.