Tennis · W35 Saskatoon · 24/07, 20:30
Prediction: Teah Chavez vs Miho Kuramochi
Prediction summary
Winner
Teah Chavez
Miho Kuramochi
Estimated games
21.4
Recent form · 10 last
Teah Chavez
7-3 (W-L)
Miho Kuramochi
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Teah Chavez 1483 · Miho Kuramochi 1580
| Teah Chavez | Miho Kuramochi | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 36% | 64% |
| Market | 25% | 75% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Miho Kuramochi (rating 1483 vs 1580).
- Miho Kuramochi is in better form: 80% recent wins.
- Note: Miho Kuramochi makes many double faults (4.5/match).
Statistics
| Teah Chavez | Miho Kuramochi | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 80% |
| Win % · Hard | 33% (3) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.1 | 1.6-0.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.1-11.9 | 11.4-8.9 |
| Aces | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| Double faults | 2.3 | 4.5 |
| 1st serve % | 56.4% | 63% |
| Break % | 43.8% | 52.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Teah Chavez
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/07 | Erika Sema W35 Saskatoon |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 22/07 | Margaret Sohns W35 Saskatoon |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 14/07 | Kayo Nishimura W75 Granby |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 07/07 | Luciana Perry W50 Columbus |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 29/10 | Olivia Lincer ITF W75 Toronto · Hard |
0-2 | 3-11 | L |
| 24/10 | Ayumi Koshiishi ITF W75 Saguenay · Hard |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 22/10 | Adriana Reami ITF W75 Saguenay · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 17/10 | Raphaelle Lacasse ITF W35 Quebec City |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 16/10 | Haruna Arakawa ITF W35 Quebec City |
1-1 | 14-17 | L |
| 15/10 | Lilian Poling ITF W35 Quebec City |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Miho Kuramochi
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/07 | Avery Alexander W35 Saskatoon |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 22/07 | Mia Kupres W35 Saskatoon |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 16/07 | Ena Koike W75 Granby |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 14/07 | Yeon Woo Ku W75 Granby |
2-1 | 14-16 | W |
| 09/07 | Malaika Rapolu W50 Columbus |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 08/07 | Victoria Mulville W50 Columbus |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 28/06 | Ayumi Miyamoto W15 Sapporo |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 27/06 | Sae Noguchi W15 Sapporo |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 26/06 | Yui Ohwaki W15 Sapporo |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 25/06 | Seo Yun Choi W15 Sapporo |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Teah Chavez vs Miho Kuramochi?
Our model gives 70% to Miho Kuramochi, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.