Tennis · W35 Saskatoon · 23/07, 23:00
Prediction: Avery Alexander vs Miho Kuramochi
Prediction summary
Winner
Avery Alexander
Miho Kuramochi
Estimated games
20.4
Recent form · 10 last
Avery Alexander
5-5 (W-L)
Miho Kuramochi
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Avery Alexander 1507 · Miho Kuramochi 1578
| Avery Alexander | Miho Kuramochi | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 40% | 60% |
| Market | 21% | 79% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Miho Kuramochi (rating 1507 vs 1578).
- Miho Kuramochi is in better form: 80% recent wins.
- Note: Miho Kuramochi makes many double faults (4.9/match).
Statistics
| Avery Alexander | Miho Kuramochi | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 80% |
| Win % · Hard | 67% (3) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.1 | 1.6-0.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 10-10.4 | 11.3-8.6 |
| Aces | 1 | 0.2 |
| Double faults | 2.6 | 4.9 |
| 1st serve % | 60.3% | 63.7% |
| Break % | 38.5% | 51.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Avery Alexander
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/07 | Martyna Ostrzygalo W35 Saskatoon |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 15/07 | Erika Sema W75 Granby |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 13/07 | Olivia Lincer W75 Granby |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 12/07 | Scarlett Nicholson W75 Granby |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 10/03 | Catherine Rennard W15 Victoriaville |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 03/03 | Jada Robinson W15 Trois-Rivieres |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 21/10 | Viktoria Hruncakova ITF W75 Saguenay · Hard |
1-2 | 9-18 | L |
| 20/10 | Rachael Smith ITF W75 Saguenay · Hard |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 19/10 | Emma Kamper ITF W75 Saguenay · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 14/10 | Nadia Lagaev ITF W35 Quebec City |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Miho Kuramochi
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/07 | Mia Kupres W35 Saskatoon |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 16/07 | Ena Koike W75 Granby |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 14/07 | Yeon Woo Ku W75 Granby |
2-1 | 14-16 | W |
| 09/07 | Malaika Rapolu W50 Columbus |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 08/07 | Victoria Mulville W50 Columbus |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 28/06 | Ayumi Miyamoto W15 Sapporo |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 27/06 | Sae Noguchi W15 Sapporo |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 26/06 | Yui Ohwaki W15 Sapporo |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 25/06 | Seo Yun Choi W15 Sapporo |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 24/06 | Suzuna Oigawa W15 Sapporo |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Avery Alexander vs Miho Kuramochi?
Our model gives 71% to Miho Kuramochi, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.